Indiana Pacers at Los Angeles Lakers Free Prediction

Victor TrejosBasketball, NBA

The Indiana Pacers (13-8) will travel to the Staples Center to meet the Los Angeles Lakers (11-9). The Lakers opened as 5-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 215.5 points and it is scheduled to start at 10:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 29, 2018.

Indiana Pacers vs. Los Angeles Lakers ATS Odds

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In the Pacers’ last outing, they covered the 2.5-point spread against the Phoenix Suns, 109-104. The Lakers, on the other hand, were blown out by the Denver Nuggets, 117-85, and failed to cover as 3-point underdogs. The Indiana game finished 4 points under the projected point total of 217, while the Los Angeles game finished 17 points under the projected point total of 219.

The Pacers made 22 of their 29 free throws (75.9 percent) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 34.0 (above their season average of 20.0). Los Angeles, meanwhile, had a better free throw rate (0.138 vs. 0.144). Los Angeles’ Kyle Kuzma had a good game, putting up 21 points. Meanwhile, Domantas Sabonis played a key role for Indiana with 21 points and 16 rebounds.

This series was highly contested last year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. The Pacers won the most recent game 110-100. The Pacers’ 5.9 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Lakers, who had a rate of 11.9. This is the first time these teams will go head-to-head this year.

Pacers games have a slight tendency to finish under the total (52.4 percent). Indiana heads into the game with records of 13-8 straight up (SU) and 10-10-1 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas is known to place the total high when the Lakers are involved, as 12 of their 21 games have ended under the O/U total. Moreover, Los Angeles owns records of 11-9 SU and 7-13 ATS.

Sabonis and Bojan Bogdanovic have played at a high level over the last five games for Indiana. Sabonis has averaged 15 points,11.4 rebounds,5.4 assists per game, while Bogdanovic has put up 20 points a game during that span.

It will be a battle of contrasting tempos as the up-tempo Lakers will look to push the more half-court-oriented Pacers. The Lakers currently rank fourth in possessions per game while the Pacers are 27th. Furthermore, the Pacers rank 28th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.169), while the Lakers rank fourth in opponents’ FTA rate (0.180).

Indiana Pacers vs. Los Angeles Lakers Betting Pick

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Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Lakers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Lakers rank 21 in three pointers attempted per game (29.7) while the Pacers rank 28 (25.095238095238095).
  • Indiana ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (40.5) while Los Angeles ranks 28th (52.3).
  • The Lakers rank second in blocks per game (6.5) while the Pacers rank 20th in blocks allowed per game (5.8).
  • Indiana ranks first in second chance points allowed per game (10.3) while Los Angeles ranks 19th (13.8).
  • Indiana ranks 3 in steals per game (9.095238095238095) while Los Angeles ranks 14 in steals allowed per game (7.65).
  • The Pacers rank second in points off turnovers per game (21.0) while the Lakers rank 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.4).
  • The Lakers average 20.05 fast break points per game, which ranks 2 in the league. The Pacers rank 16 in fast break points allowed per game (13.80952380952381).
  • Indiana averages 24.19047619047619 assists per game, which ranks 12 in the league. Los Angeles ranks 16 in assists allowed per game (23.75).
  • Indiana ranks fourth in rebounds allowed per game (41.6) while Los Angeles ranks 25th (47.2).
  • Los Angeles is 3-0 when they allow under 100 points, while Indiana is 6-1.
  • When scoring above 100 points, the Lakers are 10-8 and the Pacers are 11-4.
  • Indiana is 5-5-1 ATS on the road, while Los Angeles is 3-7 ATS at home.
  • The Pacers have 7 overs and 4 unders in 11 road games.
  • The Lakers have 6 unders and 4 overs in 10 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Pacers are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Lakers are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Indiana has 4 overs and 1 under, while Los Angeles has 5 unders.
  • The Pacers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.2, up from 4.3 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Lakers have scored an average of 100.2 points per game (12.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 102.0 points per game (10.9 below their season average).