Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings ATS Prediction

Victor TrejosBasketball, NBA

It will be a clash between two sensational offenses when the Sacramento Kings (15-12), 8.5-point underdogs, go head-to-head with the Golden State Warriors (19-10) at Golden 1 Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 236.5 points and it can be seen on NBC Sports – Bay Area at 10 p.m. ET on Friday, December 14, 2018.

Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings ATS Odds

In the Kings’ previous outing, they beat the Minnesota Timberwolves, 141-130, as 3-point underdogs. The Warriors, meanwhile, were blown out by the Toronto Raptors, 113-93, and were unable to cover as 8-point underdogs. The Sacramento game finished 44 points over the projected point total of 227, while the Golden State game went 21.5 points under the projected point total of 227.5.

Sacramento played a nearly perfect game. They had an extraordinary effective field goal percentage of 0.692 (above their season average of 0.538) and a free throw rate of 0.256 (above their season average of 0.171). Minnesota was 0.586 and 0.226, respectively, for those same stats. Golden State, on the other hand, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.512 vs. 0.533). Sacramento’s Marvin Bagley III had a solid performance, contributing 17 points and 10 rebounds. Meanwhile, Golden State rallied around Kevin Durant, who recorded 30 points, seven rebounds and five assists.

In their first matchup this season, Durant led the Warriors to a 117-116 win. He notched a double-double with 44 points and 13 rebounds. Golden State was unable to cover as a 7-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 233 points, which was over the projected point total of 226. Golden State was effective at getting and making free throws. The Warriors made 25 of their 29 free throws (86.2 percent), while the Kings were 21-29 (72.4 percent).

Of the Warriors’ 29 games, 15 have finished over the O/U total. Golden State has a respectable 19-10 straight up (SU) record, but they have difficulty covering the spread (13-16 against the spread (ATS)).

Kings games have typically gone over the total (63.0 percent). Moreover, Sacramento is 15-12 SU and 17-10 ATS.

Bogdan Bogdanovic has taken his game to another level recently for Sacramento, averaging 15 points,4.2 assists,1.6 steals over the last five games.

It will be a showdown of opposite paces as the fast-paced Kings will look to push the slower-paced Warriors. The Kings rank seventh in possessions per game while the Warriors are 19th. Additionally, the Warriors’ top-ranked offense (effective field goal percentage of 0.560) will battle against the Kings’ 25th-ranked defense (effective field goal percentage allowed of 0.537).

Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings Betting Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Kings average 8.407407407407407 steals per game, which ranks 11 in the NBA. The Warriors rank 19 in steals allowed per game (8.206896551724137).
  • Sacramento ranks fourth in points in the paint per game (53.5) while Golden State ranks 29th (39.8).
  • The Kings rank first in fast break points per game (21.9) while the Warriors rank 21st in fast break points allowed per game (14.4).
  • Golden State ranks seventh in rebounds allowed per game (42.7) while Sacramento ranks 26th (46.9).
  • Sacramento ranks 13 in second chance points per game (13.444444444444445) while Golden State ranks 26 (11.620689655172415).
  • The Warriors rank second in blocks per game (6.4) while the Kings rank 25th (4.5).
  • The Warriors average 27.93103448275862 assists per game, which ranks 1 in the league. The Kings rank 20 in assists allowed per game (24.703703703703702).
  • Golden State ranks 18 in three pointers attempted per game (30.448275862068964) while Sacramento ranks 26 in three pointers allowed per game (34.148148148148145).
  • Sacramento ranks second in points off turnovers per game (21.3) while Golden State ranks 25th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.4).
  • In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Sacramento is 4-0 and Golden State is 3-0.
  • The Warriors are 19-5 when they reach 100 points, while the Kings are 14-10.
  • Sacramento is 8-4 ATS at home, while Golden State is 6-8 ATS on the road.
  • In 14 road games, the Warriors have 9 overs and 5 unders.
  • The Kings have 7 unders and 5 overs in 12 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Kings are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 3-2.
  • In their last five games, Sacramento has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Golden State has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 119.4 points per game (4.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.2 points per game (7.3 below their season average).
  • The Warriors\u2019 average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.8, up from 5.0 for the season.