Golden State Warriors at Toronto Raptors Free Prediction

Victor TrejosBasketball, NBA

It will be a showdown between two great offenses when the Toronto Raptors (18-4) square off against the Golden State Warriors (15-7) at Scotiabank Arena. The game will air on TNT at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 29, 2018.

Golden State Warriors vs. Toronto Raptors Betting Odds

In the Raptors’ previous game, they beat the Memphis Grizzlies, 122-114, covering as 5.5-point favorites. The Warriors, meanwhile, defeated the Orlando Magic, 116-110, but were not able to cover as 6.5-point favorites. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Toronto game went 27.5 points over the projected point total of 208.5, while the Golden State game finished 12 points over the projected point total of 214.

Golden State dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.3 (above their season average of 23.1) and a free throw rate of 0.250 (above their season average of 0.206). Orlando was 14.3 and 0.178, respectively, for those same stats. Meanwhile, Toronto’s 0.290 free throw rate was their biggest advantage over Memphis, who had a rate of 0.212. The Raptors’ mark was above their season average of 0.186. Kawhi Leonard led the way for Toronto, contributing 17 points, 10 rebounds and five assists. Kevin Durant fueled Golden State with 49 points, nine assists and six rebounds.

The Warriors dominated this series last year, securing victories in both contests. In the most recent contest, Golden State won 127-125. The Warriors’ 6.0 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Raptors, who had a mark of 8.5. This is the first time these teams will battle this year.

Warriors games have a slight tendency to go over the projected point total (54.5 percent). Golden State has a solid 15-7 straight up (SU) record, but they have difficulty covering the spread (9-13 against the spread (ATS)).

Vegas has a tendency to set the total low when the Raptors are involved, as 15 of their 22 games have ended over the O/U total. Additionally, Toronto owns records of 18-4 SU and 12-10 ATS.

Durant and Klay Thompson have been playing well over the last five games for Golden State. Durant has averaged 32 points,10.0 rebounds,5.2 assists,2.0 blocks per game, while Thompson has recorded 27 points a game during that span.

This battle figures to be a high-scoring affair as a pair of the NBA’s best offenses battle. Toronto ranks third with 113.6 points per 100 possessions and Golden State is second (113.7).

Golden State Warriors at Toronto Raptors Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Raptors average 8.318181818181818 steals per game, which ranks 11 in the NBA. The Warriors rank 21 in steals allowed per game (8.227272727272727).
  • Toronto ranks sixth in points in the paint per game (53.0) while Golden State ranks 29th (40.2).
  • The Warriors average 27.9 assists per game, which ranks first in the league. The Raptors rank 17th in assists allowed per game (24.1).
  • Toronto ranks 11th in second chance points per game (14.2) while Golden State ranks 25th (12.0).
  • Toronto ranks 7 in points off turnovers per game (18.772727272727273) while Golden State ranks 18 in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.40909090909091).
  • The Warriors average 17.1 fast break points per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. The Raptors rank 23rd in fast break points allowed per game (14.3).
  • The Warriors rank 4 in blocks per game (6.363636363636363) while the Raptors rank 15 (5.454545454545454).
  • Golden State ranks 5 in rebounds allowed per game (42.5) while Toronto ranks 9 (43.36363636363637).
  • Toronto ranks eighth in three pointers attempted per game (33.5) while Golden State ranks 26th in three pointers allowed per game (34.0).
  • Golden State is 2-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Toronto is 3-0.
  • When scoring above 100 points, the Warriors are 15-3 and the Raptors are 17-4.
  • Golden State is 2-7 ATS on the road, while Toronto is 5-6 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 6 of the Warriors’ 9 road games, while 9 of the Raptors’ 11 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Raptors are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Toronto has 4 overs and 1 under, while Golden State has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 117.8 points per game (0.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 107.0 points per game (1.1 below their season average).
  • The Warriors have been outscored by an average of 1.0 point in their last five games. On the season, Golden State has defeated opponents by an average of 5.3 points.