It will be a battle between two outstanding offenses when the Milwaukee Bucks (16-7) take on the Golden State Warriors (17-9) at Fiserv Forum. The game will air on ESPN at 9:30 p.m. ET on Friday, December 7, 2018.
Golden State Warriors vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Odds
Both teams comfortably covered as favorites in their last game. The Bucks (7-point favorites) defeated the Detroit Pistons 115-92, while the Warriors (11-point favorites) beat the Cleveland Cavaliers 129-105. The Milwaukee game finished 18.5 points under the projected point total of 225.5, while the Golden State game finished 14.5 points over the projected point total of 219.5.
Golden State dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.247 (above their season average of 0.207) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.635 (above their season average of 0.560). For those same stats, Cleveland put up marks of 0.180 and 0.500, respectively. Meanwhile, Milwaukee played a nearly flawless game. They had a solid free throw rate of 0.305 (above their season average of 0.189) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.549 (below their season average of 0.567). Detroit was 0.137 and 0.416, respectively, for those same stats. Eric Bledsoe played a pivotal role for Milwaukee with 27 points. Golden State, meanwhile, was led by Stephen Curry, who put up 42 points, nine rebounds and seven assists.
In their first matchup this season, Giannis Antetokounmpo led the Bucks to a 134-111 win. He recorded 24 points and 9 rebounds. Milwaukee covered as a 6-point underdog and the two teams combined to score 245 points, which was just over the projected point total of 242.5. The Bucks’ turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Warriors. Milwaukee had a rate of 9.6, while Golden State posted a mark of 15.7.
Games involving the Warriors tend to finish over the projected point total (57.7 percent). Golden State heads into the game with records of 17-9 straight up (SU) and 12-14 against the spread (ATS).
Coinciding with Golden State, Bucks games also tend to go over the projected point total (65.2 percent). Moreover, Milwaukee is 16-7 SU and 12-11 ATS.
The Warriors’ Kevin Durant has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 40 points,8.2 rebounds,7.4 assists,1.2 blocks per game. Meanwhile, Malcolm Brogdon has averaged 20 points,4.6 assists during that same time frame for the Bucks.
It might turn into a high-scoring affair as two of the league’s best offenses face off. Milwaukee currently ranks second with 113.8 points per 100 possessions and Golden State is first (114.5).
Warriors at Bucks ATS Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Warriors rank 2 in blocks per game (6.269230769230769) while the Bucks rank 6 (5.869565217391305).
- Milwaukee ranks third in points in the paint per game (55.8) while Golden State ranks 28th (40.8).
- The Bucks rank third in second chance points allowed per game (10.7) while the Warriors rank 21st (14.1).
- Milwaukee ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (9.1) while Golden State ranks 18th (14.1).
- Golden State averages 27.884615384615383 assists per game, which ranks 1 in the league. Milwaukee ranks 14 in assists allowed per game (23.782608695652176).
- The Bucks average 40.6 three pointers per game, which ranks second in the NBA. The Warriors rank 24th in three pointers allowed per game (33.8).
- The Bucks rank 1 in rebounds per game (50.30434782608695) while the Warriors rank 14 (45.46153846153846).
- Milwaukee averages 7.304347826086956 steals per game, which ranks 20 in the league. Golden State ranks 21 in steals allowed per game (8.115384615384615).
- Milwaukee ranks fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.1) while Golden State ranks 25th (18.3).
- Milwaukee is 4-0 when they allow under 100 points, while Golden State is 2-0.
- When reaching 100 points, the Bucks are 16-7 and the Warriors are 17-5.
- Golden State is 5-8 ATS on the road, while Milwaukee is 9-5 ATS at home.
- Of the Warriors’ 13 road games, they have 9 overs and 4 unders.
- The Bucks have 9 overs and 5 unders in 14 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Warriors are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Bucks are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Golden State has 4 overs and 1 under, while Milwaukee has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 120.6 points per game (3.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.6 points per game (2.4 above their season average).
- The Bucks\u2019 average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.4, down from 10.7 for the season.
