Detroit Pistons at Cleveland Cavaliers Free Prediction

Victor TrejosBasketball, NBA

The Detroit Pistons (3-0), 7-point favorites, look to extend their hot start when they take on the winless Cleveland Cavaliers (0-4) at Little Caesars Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 223.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Ohio at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, October 25, 2018.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Detroit Pistons Betting Odds

In the Pistons’ last matchup, they barely escaped the Philadelphia 76ers, 133-132, despite being 1-point underdogs. The Cavaliers, on the other hand, were beat by the Brooklyn Nets, 102-86, and failed to cover as 8-point underdogs. The Detroit game finished 50.5 points over the projected point total of 214.5, while the Cleveland game went 44.5 points under the projected point total of 232.5.

The Pistons had a better turnover percentage (6.3 vs. 9.1) and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (23.1 vs. 19.0). Cleveland, meanwhile, held Brooklyn to an offensive rebounding percentage of 17.8 (below their season average of 23.2). Detroit’s Blake Griffin had a good outing, contributing 50 points, 14 rebounds and six assists. Cleveland was lifted by Kevin Love, who had 14 points and 11 rebounds.

Detroit should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. Dating back to the 2017-18 season, Detroit ranks fifth in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.9 percent), while Cleveland has forced the second-fewest turnovers (12.6 percent). ,

Since last season, the Cavaliers have had records of 50-36 straight up (SU) and 47-51-5 against the spread (ATS). Cleveland games have had a tendency to finish over the O/U total since last season (61.2 percent).

Meanwhile, the Pistons, have records of 42-43 SU and 39-46 ATS since last season. Over that same stretch, games featuring Detroit have had a tendency to finish under the projected point total (55.3 percent).

The Cavaliers edged out the Pistons in this series last year, winning three out of four games. In the last matchup, Cleveland won 112-90. The Cavaliers’ offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the Pistons. Cleveland had a rate of 25.6, while Detroit posted a mark of 16.0.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Detroit Pistons Betting Pick

Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Pistons, ATS Winner – Cavaliers, O/U – Over

Betting Notes (2017-Present)

  • The Pistons average 12.9 second chance points per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. The Cavaliers rank 16th in second chance points allowed per game (12.6).
  • Cleveland ranks fifth in three pointers attempted per game (31.4) while Detroit ranks 27th in three pointers allowed per game (30.8).
  • The Pistons rank first in fast break points allowed per game (9.8) while the Cavaliers rank 12th (11.7).
  • Detroit averages 22.7 assists per game, which ranks 16th in the league. Cleveland ranks 27th in assists allowed per game (25.2).
  • Detroit averages 43.9 points in the paint per game, which ranks 17th in the NBA. Cleveland ranks 23rd in points allowed in the paint per game (47.1).
  • The Cavaliers rank third in blocks allowed per game (4.2) while the Pistons rank 18th (4.9).
  • The Pistons rank fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.7) while the Cavaliers rank 14th (16.0).
  • Detroit ranks 15th in steals per game (7.6) while Cleveland ranks 26th (6.8).
  • Cleveland and Detroit are both 22-6 when they allow below 100 points.
  • The Pistons are 38-19 when they score more than 100 points, while the Cavaliers are 58-24.
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