Texas State Bobcats vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Free Prediction 02/14/19

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The Texas State Bobcats (19-5, 8-3 SBC) will be at the Convocation Center to square off with the Arkansas State Red Wolves (10-14, 4-7 SBC) in a SBC matchup. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 14, 2019.

Texas State Bobcats at Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Odds

In their last contest, the Red Wolves fell to the Troy Trojans, 84-79, while the Bobcats were victorious over the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers, 65-57.

The Bobcats had an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 38.7 (above their season average of 32.5) and held the Chanticleers to an effective field goal percentage of 0.378 (below their season average of 0.535). Arkansas State, meanwhile, held Troy to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.4 (below their season average of 29.1). Ty Cockfield II played well for Arkansas State with 27 points. Alex Peacock had a solid performance for Texas State, recording 14 points and eight rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Nijal Pearson led the Bobcats to a 77-64 victory. He notched a double-double with 29 points and 11 rebounds. One of Texas State’s largest strengths was getting to the charity stripe. They had 39 free throw attempts, while Arkansas State had just 19.

It could be a mistake-prone game for the Arkansas State offense. Arkansas State ranks 274th in the nation in ball protection (turnover percentage of 20.4 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Texas State forces the 40th-most turnovers in the NCAA (22.3 percent). Also, the Bobcats’ 22nd-ranked defense (effective field goal percentage allowed of 0.456) will battle against the Red Wolves’ 304th-ranked offense (effective field goal percentage of 0.478).

Texas State Bobcats at Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Texas State, ATS Winner – Texas State, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Texas State ranks 35th in assists per game (15.8) while Arkansas State ranks 230th (11.4).
  • The Bobcats average 7.4 steals per game, which ranks 58th in the nation. The Red Wolves rank 134th in steals allowed per game (6.6).
  • The Bobcats rank 45th in rebounds allowed per game (32.3) while the Red Wolves rank 196th (35.8).
  • Arkansas State ranks 57th in blocks per game (4.1) while Texas State ranks 145th in blocks allowed per game (3.9).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Red Wolves have scored an average of 74.2 points per game (0.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 79.0 points per game (1.8 above their season average).
  • The Bobcats’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.2, down from 11.0 for the season.