Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons at Denver Pioneers Free Prediction 02/14/19

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The Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (16-10, 8-3 Summit) will be at Magness Arena to go head-to-head with the Denver Pioneers (7-18, 2-9 Summit) in a Summit matchup. Action begins at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 14, 2019.

Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Denver Pioneers ATS Odds

In their last matchup, the Pioneers fell to the North Dakota State Bison, 81-71, while the Mastodons defeated the Western Illinois Leathernecks, 79-64.

Purdue Fort Wayne played a nearly perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.169 (matching their season average) and a turnover percentage of 9.0 (better than their season average of 15.2). For those same stats, Western Illinois was 0.046 and 18.2, respectively. Denver, meanwhile, held North Dakota State to an offensive rebounding percentage of 9.7 (below their season average of 21.6). Ronnie Harrell Jr. played well for Denver with 23 points and seven rebounds. Meanwhile, Purdue Fort Wayne was lifted by John Konchar, who contributed 10 points, seven rebounds and six assists.

In their first matchup this year, Matt Holba led the Mastodons to a 91-81 victory. He produced 23 points and seven rebounds. Purdue Fort Wayne had a much better turnover percentage (7.6 vs. 19.2). Denver, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (32.1 vs. 25.7).

Getting to the line could be scarce for Denver in this battle. The Pioneers currently rank 275th in the nation with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.205, while Purdue Fort Wayne ranks 24th in FTA rate allowed (0.176). Additionally, the 30th-ranked offense of the Mastodons (offensive efficiency of 113.6) will attempt to exploit the 343rd-ranked defense of the Pioneers (defensive efficiency of 112.6).

Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Denver Pioneers Odds Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Purdue Fort Wayne, ATS Winner – Purdue Fort Wayne, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Purdue Fort Wayne averages 28.5 three pointers per game, which ranks 14th in the country. Denver ranks 259th in three pointers allowed per game (25.8).
  • The Pioneers rank 48th in rebounds allowed per game (32.4) while the Mastodons rank 188th (35.7).
  • Purdue Fort Wayne ranks 36th in blocks per game (4.5) while Denver ranks 170th (2.5).
  • The Mastodons rank 25th in assists per game (16.2) while the Pioneers rank 212th (12.0).
  • Purdue Fort Wayne ranks 47th in steals per game (7.6) while Denver ranks 212th (4.8).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Mastodons have scored an average of 86.6 points per game (6.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 76.4 points per game (1.5 above their season average).
  • The Pioneers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.4, down from 7.7 for the season.