Little Rock Trojans at Texas State Bobcats ATS Prediction 01/17/19

Posts AdminCollege Basketball

The Texas State Bobcats (14-3, 3-1 SBC) welcome the Little Rock Trojans (7-10, 2-2 SBC) to Strahan Coliseum. The Trojans look to snap a seven-game road losing streak. The game gets underway at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 17, 2019.

Little Rock Trojans vs. Texas State Bobcats Betting Odds

Both teams were triumphant in their last game. The Bobcats edged the Appalachian State Mountaineers 70-69, while the Trojans dismantled the South Alabama Jaguars 91-62.

Little Rock played a nearly perfect game. They had an extraordinary free throw rate of 0.490 (above their season average of 0.274) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.684 (above their season average of 0.560). For those same stats, South Alabama was 0.200 and 0.464, respectively. The Bobcats, on the other hand, had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 35.1 (above their season average of 33.1) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.508 vs. 0.482). Texas State received a boost from Tre’Larenz Nottingham, who recorded 16 points. Meanwhile, Deondre Burns played well for Little Rock, recording 22 points, seven rebounds and five assists.

The Bobcats won the lone game between these two teams last season, 72-70. The Bobcats’ turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Trojans. Texas State had a rate of 11.0, while Little Rock posted a mark of 19.9. This is the first time these teams will meet this year.

Looking at effective field goal percentage, Texas State should have a considerable advantage. The sweet-shooting Bobcats offense ranks 98th in the NCAA in that metric at 0.534, while the Little Rock defense is ranked 230th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.511). Also, the Trojans rank 321st in turnover percentage (22.2 percent), while the Bobcats rank 37th in opponents’ turnover percentage (22.9 percent).

Little Rock Trojans at Texas State Bobcats Free Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Texas State, ATS Winner – Little Rock, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Texas State ranks 72nd in three pointers allowed per game (20.9) while Little Rock ranks 260th (27.2).
  • The Trojans rank 49th in steals allowed per game (5.5) while the Bobcats rank 85th (6.1).
  • The Bobcats average 16.6 assists per game, which ranks 23rd in the nation. The Trojans rank 187th in assists allowed per game (14.9).
  • Texas State ranks 48th in rebounds per game (39.1) while Little Rock ranks 152nd (35.5).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Trojans have scored an average of 80.6 points per game (2.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 79.0 points per game (2.0 above their season average).
  • The Bobcats’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 16.0, up from 13.7 for the season.