Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers ATS Prediction 12/20/18

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The Dallas Mavericks (15-14), 3.5-point underdogs, will travel to the Staples Center to go head-to-head against the Los Angeles Clippers (17-13). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 221.5 points and it is scheduled to start at 10:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 20, 2018.

Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers ATS Odds

Both teams fell in their last game. The Clippers (1-point favorites) were defeated by the Portland Trail Blazers, 131-127, while the Mavericks (5-point underdogs) fell to the Denver Nuggets, 126-118. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Los Angeles game finished 40.5 points over the projected point total of 217.5, while the Dallas game went 35.5 points over the projected point total of 208.5.

Dallas had a turnover percentage of 7.5 (better than their season average of 14.0) while Los Angeles held Portland to an offensive rebounding percentage of 17.1 (below their season average of 26.0). Tobias Harris put together a solid game for Los Angeles with 39 points and 11 rebounds. Meanwhile, Luka Doncic had a good outing for Dallas, finishing with 23 points, 12 assists and six rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, DeAndre Jordan led the Mavericks to a 114-110 win. He registered a double-double with 16 points and 23 rebounds. Dallas covered as a 2.5-point underdog and the two teams combined for 224 points, which was just over the projected point total of 223.5. Dallas had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (32.1 vs. 14.5). Los Angeles, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (8.7 vs. 13.1).

A little over half of the Mavericks’ games have finished over the total. Dallas holds records of 15-14 straight up (SU) and 17-12 against the spread (ATS).

Games featuring the Clippers have typically gone over the total (60.0 percent). Additionally, Los Angeles is 17-13 SU and 16-14 ATS.

Doncic has really been playing well recently for Dallas, averaging 19 points,7.8 rebounds,6.2 assists,1.4 steals over the last five games.

Second-chance points could be hard to come by for Los Angeles in this showdown. The Clippers currently rank 21st in offensive rebounding percentage (22.2 percent), while Dallas ranks seventh in defensive rebounding percentage (78.1 percent). Furthermore, the Mavericks rank third in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.236), while the Clippers rank 22nd in opponents’ FTA rate (0.213).

Mavericks at Clippers Free Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Clippers, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Mavericks rank 13 in fast break points per game (13.96551724137931) while the Clippers rank 27 in fast break points allowed per game (15.5).
  • Dallas ranks fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.5) while Los Angeles ranks 27th (6.2).
  • The Mavericks rank fourth in rebounds allowed per game (42.4) while the Clippers rank 20th (45.8).
  • Dallas ranks 16th in steals per game (7.9) while Los Angeles ranks last (5.9).
  • Dallas averages 13.96551724137931 second chance points per game, which ranks 10 in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 24 in second chance points allowed per game (14.633333333333333).
  • The Mavericks rank eighth in three pointers attempted per game (33.7) while the Clippers rank 28th (25.2).
  • The Mavericks rank 12 in points off turnovers per game (17.655172413793103) while the Clippers rank 26 (14.366666666666667).
  • Dallas ranks ninth in points allowed in the paint per game (46.4) while Los Angeles ranks 27th (51.9).
  • When allowing under 100 points, Dallas is 4-2 and Los Angeles is 3-1.
  • The Mavericks are 15-12 when they score more than 100 points, while the Clippers are 17-8.
  • Los Angeles is 8-5 ATS at home, while Dallas is 5-8 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 8 of the Clippers’ 13 home games, while 7 of the Mavericks’ 13 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Dallas and Los Angeles are both 1-4 ATS.
  • The Mavericks have 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games, while the Clippers have 3 overs and 2 unders
  • The Mavericks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.4, up from 1.2 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Clippers have scored an average of 108.0 points per game (6.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 121.6 points per game (7.5 above their season average).