Citadel Bulldogs at South Florida Bulls ATS Prediction

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The South Florida Bulls (4-1) will be at home in the USF Sun Dome when they meet the Citadel Bulldogs (3-2). Action begins at 2 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 24, 2018, and can be seen on ESPN 3.

Citadel Bulldogs vs. South Florida Bulls ATS Odds

Both teams beat their last opponent. The Bulls defeated the Florida A&M Rattlers 69-59, while the Bulldogs beat the James Madison Dukes 91-82.

Citadel dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a fantastically low turnover percentage of 6.7 (better than their season average of 14.5) and a free throw rate of 0.306 (above their season average of 0.205). For those same stats, James Madison was 17.6 and 0.246, respectively. The Bulls, meanwhile, had a ridiculous offensive rebounding percentage of 42.9 (above their season average of 29.6), while the Rattlers had a free throw rate of 0.159 (below their season average of 0.208). South Florida’s Alexis Yetna had a solid performance, contributing 15 points and 10 rebounds. Meanwhile, Lew Stallworth played a key role for Citadel with 26 points, six assists and five rebounds.

This could end up being a sloppy game for the South Florida offense. Dating back to last season, South Florida ranks 340th in the nation in ball protection (turnover percentage of 21.6 percent), while the pesky defense of Citadel has forced the 60th-most turnovers in the nation (21.0 percent). It will also be a showdown of contrasting tempos as the fast-paced Bulldogs rank second in possessions per game, while the more half-court oriented Bulls rank 328th.

Citadel vs. South Florida Betting Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – South Florida, ATS Winner – South Florida, O/U – Under

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

  • Citadel ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (35.6) while South Florida ranks 298th (18.4).
  • The Bulls rank 131st in rebounds allowed per game (34.3) while the Bulldogs rank 322nd (43.5).
  • Citadel ranks 147th in blocks per game (3.4) while South Florida ranks 237th (2.5).
  • The Bulldogs rank 14th in assists per game (16.9) while the Bulls rank 251st (12.4).
  • Citadel ranks third in steals per game (9.4) while South Florida ranks 227th in steals allowed per game (6.8).