Chicago Bulls at Detroit Pistons ATS Prediction

Daniel GimenezBasketball, NBA

The Detroit Pistons (11-7) welcome the Chicago Bulls (5-17) to Little Caesars Arena. The Bulls are 9-point underdogs and can snap a five-game road losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 216.5 points and it can be seen on WGN Channel 9 at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, November 30, 2018.

Chicago Bulls vs. Detroit Pistons ATS Odds

Although the Bulls were defeated by the Milwaukee Bucks in their last game, 116-113, they did cover as 15-point underdogs. The Bulls, meanwhile, beat the New York Knicks,115-108, but were not able to cover as 7.5-point favorites. The Chicago game went 1 point under the projected point total of 230, while the Detroit game went 2.5 points over the projected point total of 220.5.

The Pistons made 32 of their 45 free throws (71.1 percent) and held the Knicks to an effective field goal percentage of 0.445 (below the 0.522 mark opponents have averaged against Detroit this season). Chicago, on the other hand, did a terrific job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (22-29; 75.9 percent). Detroit received a boost from Blake Griffin, who had 30 points and five assists. Zach LaVine was a key piece for Chicago with 24 points, nine rebounds and seven assists.

In their first matchup this season, Griffin led the Pistons to a 118-116 victory. He notched a double-double with 33 points and 12 rebounds. Detroit was unable to cover as a 5-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 234 points, which was well over the projected point total of 217. Detroit out-rebounded Chicago. The Pistons had 18 offensive rebounds and 49 total rebounds, while the Bulls had five and 41, respectively.

Oddsmakers have a tendency to set the total high when the Bulls are involved, as 68.2 percent of their contests have ended under the total. Chicago holds records of 5-17 straight up (SU) and 11-11 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Chicago, Pistons games have typically gone over the O/U total (61.1 percent). Additionally, Detroit owns records of 11-7 SU and 10-8 ATS.

Jabari Parker has been outstanding as of late for Chicago, averaging 20 points,9.2 rebounds,3.4 assists,1.6 steals over the last five games.

Detroit could dominate the offensive glass in this matchup. The Pistons currently rank fifth in offensive rebounding percentage (26.3 percent), while Chicago ranks 22nd in defensive rebounding percentage (75.3 percent).

Chicago Bulls at Detroit Pistons Odds Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Pistons, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Pistons average 49.666666666666664 points in the paint per game, which ranks 9 in the league. The Bulls rank 16 in points allowed in the paint per game (48.54545454545455).
  • Detroit ranks third in second chance points per game (15.7) while Chicago ranks 27th (10.0).
  • The Pistons rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.8) while the Bulls rank 22nd (17.9).
  • Detroit ranks fifth in steals allowed per game (7.2) while Chicago ranks 23rd (8.4).
  • Detroit ranks 3 in fast break points allowed per game (10.555555555555555) while Chicago ranks 14 (13.454545454545455).
  • The Pistons rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (29.1) while the Bulls rank 28th (34.5).
  • The Pistons rank 15 in blocks allowed per game (5.111111111111111) while the Bulls rank 27 (6.818181818181818).
  • Chicago ranks 21 in assists per game (22.363636363636363) while Detroit ranks 25 (21.5).
  • Detroit averages 47.4 rebounds per game, which ranks eighth in the league. Chicago ranks last in rebounds allowed per game (49.4).
  • Detroit is 1-0 when they allow under 100 points, while Chicago is 2-1.
  • The Pistons are 11-5 when they reach 100 points, while the Bulls are 3-10.
  • Detroit is 4-6 ATS at home, while Chicago is 4-6 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone under in 6 of the Bulls’ 10 road games, while 6 of the Pistons’ 10 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Pistons are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Bulls are 3-2.
  • In their last five games, Detroit has 5 overs, while Chicago has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • The Pistons\u2019 average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.4, up from 1.1 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Bulls have scored an average of 107.2 points per game (3.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.8 points per game (2.1 below their season average).