Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Pick

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Baltimore Orioles will be taking on the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise this interleague showdown.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals Odds

Washington (-300) is favored against Baltimore (+250) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 7 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Orioles +1.5 runs (+120) and Nationals -1.5 runs (-140).

The Orioles are just 21-51 SU and are 25-46 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 31.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 26.4 units ATS. Baltimore’s covered the spread only once over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 39-33 SU and 36-35 ATS. They’ve lost 5.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.6 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Nationals games have a 28-41-2 over/under record so far in 2018. Baltimore has also been a good under bet with a total record of 29-40-2.

The right-handed Kevin Gausman is getting the nod for the visiting Orioles. Gausman is 3-6 with a 4.48 ERA and 81 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 2.57 ERA and eight strikeouts across seven innings).

The Nationals are planning to start righty Max Scherzer (10-3, 2.06 ERA), who has 152 strikeouts and 23 walks to his credit, as well as a 0.84 WHIP. Scherzer is 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Baltimore this year.

As a unit, Washington’s pitchers have yielded 3.6 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.31 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.64 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.

The Washington offense is putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 3.4 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .250/.326/.327 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Nationals’ hitters have been led by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon. Turner is slashing .266/.348/.405 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs, 39 runs and 20 stolen bases, while Rendon’s line sits at .283/.358/.470 with six homers, 27 RBIs and 26 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.33 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 7.80 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.17, along with a WHIP of 1.51.

Orioles hitters have slashed .228/.295/.379 on their way to 3.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Right fielder Adam Jones and shortstop Manny Machado have paced Baltimore’s hitters. Jones is hitting .296/.320/.460 with 10 home runs, 31 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Machado is slashing .304/.371/.554 with 18 homers, 53 RBIs and 33 runs scored.

The Orioles have lost 21.9 units and are 16-30 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 19 of those games, compared to 26 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Nationals have netted 8.1 units and are 27-21 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 27 that went under the total.

Baltimore Orioles at Washington Nationals Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • Baltimore has recorded 18 extra-base hits over its last five games. Washington has 11 XBH over its last five.
  • Baltimore has recorded 19.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.0 over its last five.
  • The Orioles have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.