Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins Matchup

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Miami Marlins will head north to take on their division rival Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be airing the action and the game gets going at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals Odds

Washington (-180) is favored against Miami (+170) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs (-130 for the over and +110 for the under). The game’s current runline odds sit at -130 for picking the Marlins +1.5 runs and +110 for the Nationals -1.5 runs.

The Marlins have gone only 36-52 SU this year and are 46-41 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 0.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having lost 4.3 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 42-43 SU and 40-44 ATS. They’ve lost 16.5 units for moneyline bettors and 5.9 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Washington games have an over/under record of 33-49-2 thus far in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 44-41-2.

Pablo Lopez will get the start for the visiting Marlins. Lopez (1-0, 3.00 ERA) has recorded five punchouts in six innings so far. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Nationals will turn to righty Jeremy Hellickson (2-1, 2.63 ERA), who has 38 strikeouts and eight walks to his credit as well as a WHIP of 1.02. Hellickson made two starts against the Marlins in 2017, putting together a 1-1 record with a 3.75 ERA and three strikeouts.

As a unit, Washington’s pitching staff has yielded 3.9 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 3.72, a WHIP of 1.19 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.5. The bullpen has a 3.77 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 29 games against divisional foes, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.15 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.54.

The Washington offense is putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .238/.313/.359 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have led the Nationals’ batters this year. Turner is hitting .275/.354/.406 with nine home runs, 29 RBIs, 48 runs and 22 steals, and Rendon’s line sits at .289/.352/.526 with 12 homers, 37 RBIs and 35 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.62 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.73 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.63, along with a K-per-9 of 8.31.

Marlins hitters have slashed .240/.308/.361 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have paced Miami’s offense. Castro is hitting .292/.340/.397 with five home runs, 31 RBIs and 52 runs scored. Anderson (.281/.358/.399) is up to five homers, 41 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

The Marlins have lost 0.0 units and are 30-32 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve gone under against -handed starting pitchers.

Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • Each offenses has tallied 10 extra-base hits over its last five contests.
  • The Nationals have lost eight of their last nine games SU.
  • Washington has recorded 22.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.6 over its last five.
  • The Marlins have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 14 over their last 10.