Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Boston Red Sox will make a road trip to Rogers Centre to face their division rival Toronto Blue Jays. New England Sports Network will showcase the action and the game gets underway at 7:07 p.m. ET.

Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Toronto (+145) as the underdog to Boston (-155). Gamblers are able to bet on the game’s total with odds posted at even money (+100) for over 9 runs and -120 for under 9. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Red Sox -1.5 runs (-110) and Blue Jays +1.5 runs (-110).

The Blue Jays are 51-60 straight up (SU) and 50-62 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 20.5 units (ATS). Toronto has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Red Sox are 79-34 SU and have gone 69-45 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 30.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 24.6 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Toronto games have an over/under record of 57-47-8 in 2018. Boston has been a decent under bet with a total record of 52-58-4.

Right-hander Rick Porcello is projected to start for Boston. Porcello (14-4, 3.84 ERA) has recorded 135 strikeouts in 140.2 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with 16 strikeouts and a 7.47 ERA against Toronto this year (three starts).

The Blue Jays will turn to lefty Ryan Borucki (1-2, 2.30 ERA), who has 30 punchouts and 11 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.26. Borucki is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 12.00 ERA in one start against Boston this year.

Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.49 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.59 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.33, along with a K-per-9 of 9.60.

The Red Sox offense has slashed .269/.339/.457 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game this season, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts continue to lead Boston’s offense. Martinez is slashing .324/.392/.641 with 33 home runs, 93 RBIs and 80 runs scored, while Betts (.342/.428/.652) is up to 26 homers, 58 RBIs, 89 runs and 21 stolen bases.

In the home-team dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.84, a WHIP of 1.40 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.9. The bullpen has a 4.44 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 42 divisional games, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 4.46 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.10.

The Toronto offense has produced 4.5 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .287/.332/.489 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Third baseman Yangervis Solarte and first baseman Justin Smoak have led the way for the Blue Jays’ offense this year. Solarte is hitting .233/.285/.401 with 17 home runs, 53 RBIs and 48 runs scored, and Smoak’s line sits at .252/.360/.469 with 17 homers, 56 RBIs and 47 runs.

The Red Sox have gained 2.1 units and are 15-13 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 4.3 units and are 32-39 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 38 of those games, as opposed to 29 that’ve gone under.

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Boston has tallied 22 extra-base hits over its last five games. Toronto has 21 XBH over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have won eight of their last nine games SU.
  • Boston has recorded 23.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.0 over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.