Toronto Blue Jays at Miami Marlins Free Pick

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The Miami Marlins are trying to avoid losing their fourth in a row as they play host to the Toronto Blue Jays at Marlins Park. This interleague showdown will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox SportsNet Florida to catch the game.

Toronto Blue Jays at Miami Marlins Odds

Vegas is listing Toronto (-115) as the favorite over Miami (+105). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for +100 and the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at +130 for the Blue Jays -1.5 runs and -150 for the Marlins +1.5 runs.

The Blue Jays have gone 60-73 SU this year and are 56-77 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.9 units for moneyline bettors and 31.9 units ATS. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 53-81 SU and 69-65 ATS. The team’s lost 2.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.1 units ATS.

Marlins games have an over/under record of 67-63-4 in 2018. Blue Jays games have gone over 69 times, gone under 56 times and pushed on eight instances.

Right-hander Aaron Sanchez is the projected starter for the visiting Blue Jays. Sanchez is 3-5 with a 4.95 ERA and 69 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Marlins will turn to righty Dan Straily (5-6, 4.35 ERA) to the mound. Straily has 91 strikeouts and 51 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.37. Straily did not record a start against the Blue Jays in 2017.

As a unit, Miami’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 4.48 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.23 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.

The Miami hitters have produced 3.7 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .209/.290/.367 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Marlins’ batters have been led by Starlin Castro, who is hitting .286/.338/.409 with 11 home runs, 49 RBIs and 71 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.18 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 7.58 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.49, along with a WHIP of 1.45 and a K/9 of 9.04.

Blue Jays hitters have slashed .245/.317/.430 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 4.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Toronto’s hitters have been led by Justin Smoak. Smoak is slashing .249/.357/.464 with 21 home runs, 64 RBIs and 58 runs scored.

The Blue Jays just dropped a 10-5 game to the Orioles, while the Marlins are coming off of a 14-6 loss against the Red Sox.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Miami Marlins Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends,

  • Toronto has recorded 22 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Miami has 11 XBH over its last five.
  • The Blue Jays have hit 21 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit 14 over their last 10.
  • Miami has averaged 22.0 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 contests and 16.6 over its last five.