Toronto Blue Jays at Cleveland Indians Betting Preview

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Cleveland Indians will pay a visit to Rogers Centre to face the Toronto Blue Jays. SportsTime Ohio will broadcast this AL matchup and the action gets going at 7:07 p.m. ET.

Cleveland Indians vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Vegas is listing Toronto (+140) as the underdog to Cleveland (-150). The total is sitting at 9 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -125 and the under for +105. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at Indians -1.5 runs (-105) and Blue Jays +1.5 runs (-115).

The Blue Jays are 63-76 straight up (SU) and 57-81 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 12.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 35.4 units (ATS). Toronto has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 79-60 SU and have gone 66-72 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 17.8 units for moneyline bettors and 14.7 units ATS. Cleveland is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Toronto games have had an over/under record of 71-59-8 in 2018. Cleveland has an over/under record of 67-64-7.

Right-hander Shane Bieber is the projected starter for the visiting Indians. Bieber (8-3, 4.66 ERA) has racked up 87 strikeouts in 85 innings so far. He has yet to face the Blue Jays this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Blue Jays are planning to start righty Sam Gaviglio (3-7, 5.02 ERA), who has 92 strikeouts and 31 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.43. Gaviglio did not record a start against the Indians in 2017.

Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.39 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 9.57 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.71, along with a WHIP of 1.14 and a K-per-9 of 9.06.

Indians hitters have slashed .258/.331/.434 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Francisco Lindor and left fielder Michael Brantley have led Cleveland’s hitters. Lindor is slashing .283/.358/.522 with 31 home runs, 80 RBIs, 114 runs and 22 steals, while Brantley (.303/.356/.463) has produced 14 homers, 70 RBIs and 77 runs scored.

For the home team, Toronto’s pitching staff has allowed 5.2 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.23, a WHIP of 1.45 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 4.38 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

The Toronto hitters have put up 4.5 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .226/.305/.365 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

First baseman Justin Smoak and right fielder Kevin Pillar have led the Blue Jays’ batters this year. Smoak is hitting .249/.356/.469 with 23 home runs, 71 RBIs and 62 runs scored, and Pillar’s line is .248/.277/.409 with 11 homers, 51 RBIs, 54 runs and 13 stolen bases.

The Indians have lost 14.6 units and are 49-54 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 50 of those games, compared to 48 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 5.1 units and are 39-53 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 48 of those games, as opposed to 40 which went under the total.

Cleveland Indians at Toronto Blue Jays Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in four of Toronto’s last seven games.
  • Cleveland has posted 22.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.0 over its last five.
  • The Indians have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 12 over their last 10.