Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Indians Free Pick

betdsiBaseball, MLB

The Tampa Bay Rays will head north to take on the Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. SportsTime Ohio will be showing this AL matchup. The game is scheduled to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Indians Odds

Tampa Bay (+195) is the underdog against Cleveland (-215) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at eight runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -105 for the under and -115 for the over. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -110 for picking the Rays +1.5 runs and -110 for the Indians -1.5 runs.

The Indians are 76-57 straight up (SU) and 63-69 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 15.6 units for moneyline bettors and 14.7 units (ATS). Cleveland has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Rays, on the other hand, have gone 71-62 SU this year and are 73-60 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 15.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 14.4 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.

Cleveland games have a 65-61-6 over/under record in 2018. The Rays have been a good under bet with a total record of 57-72-4.

Tyler Glasnow will get the start for Tampa Bay. The right-handed Glasnow (1-3, 4.18 ERA) has racked up 104 punchouts in 79.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Indians this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Indians are sending righty Corey Kluber (16-7, 2.91 ERA) to the mound. Kluber has 172 strikeouts and 25 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 0.98. Kluber only made one start against the Rays in 2017 (1-0, 3.86 ERA and nine strikeouts across seven innings).

Tampa Bay’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.71 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.31 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.69, along with a WHIP of 1.18.

Rays hitters have slashed .257/.332/.396 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Tampa Bay’s hitters have been paced by third baseman Matt Duffy and left fielder Mallex Smith. Duffy is slashing .298/.356/.372 with four home runs, 35 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Smith (.307/.377/.433) has produced two homers, 31 RBIs, 50 runs and 27 stolen bases.

In the home-team dugout, Cleveland’s pitching staff has given up 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.38 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.83 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

The Cleveland offense has produced 5.1 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .271/.344/.388 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Indians’ offense has been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and left fielder Michael Brantley. Lindor is slashing .288/.363/.526 with 29 home runs, 78 RBIs, 109 runs and 20 stolen bases, while Brantley’s line sits at .304/.358/.468 with 14 homers, 69 RBIs and 75 runs.

The Rays have gained 6.8 units and are 50-44 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 44 of those games, compared to 48 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 12.7 units and are 47-52 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 49 of those games, as opposed to 45 which went under the total.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Indians Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes,

  • The over has hit in three of Cleveland’s last seven games.
  • The Rays have won nine of their last 10 games SU while the Indians have won three of their last four.
  • Cleveland has recorded 22.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.2 over its last five.
  • The Rays have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.