St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick 06/22/18

betdsiBaseball, MLB

The St. Louis Cardinals will be taking on their divisional rival Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. The matchup will begin at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Net Wisconsin.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

St. Louis (+100) is hosting this game as the underdog to Milwaukee (-110) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at nine runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. The game’s current runline odds sit at -210 for taking the Cardinals +1.5 runs and +175 for the Brewers -1.5.

The Cardinals are 38-35 SU and are 35-37 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 3.0 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 44-30 SU and 41-32 ATS. They’ve gained 13.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.8 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Brewers games have had an over/under record of 28-43-2 so far in 2018. The Cardinals have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 29-39-4.

Right-hander Jack Flaherty is the projected starter for the visiting Cardinals. Flaherty is 3-2 with a 2.66 ERA and 55 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with nine strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA against Milwaukee this year.

The Brewers will turn to righty Junior Guerra (3-5, 2.89 ERA), who’s got 67 strikeouts and 26 walks to his name as well as a 1.16 WHIP. Guerra is 1-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 0.79 ERA across two starts against St. Louis this year.

St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.42 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.97 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.27, along with a WHIP of 1.25.

Cardinals hitters have slashed .243/.316/.398 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

St. Louis’ offense has been led by first baseman Jose Martinez and left fielder Marcell Ozuna, who have combined to belt 20 home runs. Martinez is slashing .308/.376/.496 with 10 home runs, 44 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Ozuna (.279/.323/.420) is up to 10 homers, 40 RBIs and 30 runs scored.

For the home team, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.89, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.79, a WHIP of 1.22 and a K/9 of 10.6. In 32 games against NL Central foes, Brewers starters have an ERA of 3.43 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.48.

Milwaukee’s hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 3.0 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .244/.317/.423 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Brewers’ offense has been led by outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich. Cain is hitting .294/.392/.443 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs, 47 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Yelich’s line is .295/.370/.463 with nine homers, 31 RBIs, 49 runs and nine steals.

The Cardinals have lost 3.1 units and are 26-28 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 21 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 13.9 units and are 35-22 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 20 of those games, as opposed to 35 that’ve gone under.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes,

  • The over has cashed in only two of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
  • The Cardinals have lost three of their last four games SU.
  • Milwaukee has recorded 20.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 21.2 over its last five.
  • The Cardinals have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.