San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals Free Pick

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The St. Louis Cardinals will head west to play the San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 10:15 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Midwest will televise this NL showdown.

St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants Odds

San Francisco (-125) is favored over St. Louis (+115) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. The game’s runline odds sit at -180 for taking the Cardinals +1.5 runs and +160 for the Giants -1.5.

The Giants are 45-43 straight up (SU) and 48-39 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 9.3 units for moneyline bettors and 7.3 units (ATS). The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 44-41 SU and have gone 41-43 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 8.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 4.8 units ATS.

San Francisco games have an over/under record of 42-43-2 so far in 2018. The Cardinals have been a decent under bet with a total record of 35-45-4.

The right-handed Luke Weaver will get the nod for the visiting Cardinals. Weaver is 4-7 with a 5.16 ERA and 82 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Giants this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 2.57 ERA and nine strikeouts over seven innings).

The Giants will turn to righty Johnny Cueto (3-0, 0.84 ERA), who has 26 punchouts and six walks to his name as well as a 0.69 WHIP. Cueto only made one start against the Cardinals in 2017 (0-0, 3.38 ERA and two strikeouts across 5.1 innings).

San Francisco’s pitching staff has allowed 4.4 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 4.24 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.67 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.

The San Francisco hitters have produced 4.1 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .246/.321/.363 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Giants’ hitters have been led by shortstop Brandon Crawford and right fielder Andrew McCutchen. Crawford is hitting .310/.373/.497 with 10 home runs, 39 RBIs and 38 runs scored, while McCutchen’s line sits at .259/.343/.426 with nine homers, 37 RBIs and 47 runs scored.

For the visiting squad, St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.52 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.09 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.05, along with a K/9 of 8.63.

The Cardinals offense has slashed .243/.316/.398 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Outfielder Marcell Ozuna and first baseman Jose Martinez continue to lead St. Louis’ hitters. Ozuna is hitting .276/.320/.403 with 10 home runs, 44 RBIs and 33 runs scored, while Martinez is hitting .294/.360/.485 with 13 homers, 52 RBIs and 35 runs scored.

The Cardinals have lost 4.0 units and are 31-32 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 24 of those games, compared to 35 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 6.5 units and are 31-22 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 23 of those games, compared to 28 that’ve gone under.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in just two of San Francisco’s last seven games.
  • St. Louis has posted 23.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.4 over its last five.
  • The Cardinals have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.