San Francisco Giants at Pittsburgh Pirates Free Pick

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The San Francisco Giants are playing host to the Pittsburgh Pirates at AT&T Park. The game gets going at 10:15 p.m. ET and this NL matchup will be shown on ATPT and NSBA.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants Odds

San Francisco (-135) is favored over Pittsburgh (+125) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at Pirates +1.5 runs (-170) and Giants -1.5 runs (+150).

The Giants are 57-57 straight up (SU) and 63-52 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.7 units for moneyline bettors and 9.3 units (ATS). San Francisco has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Pirates have gone 57-56 SU this year and are 54-60 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 1.0 unit for bettors taking the moneyline, but have lost 8.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.

Giants games have an over/under record of 53-58-4 in 2018. Pittsburgh has an over/under record of 55-51-8.

Ivan Nova is getting the nod for the Bucs. The right-handed Nova is 6-6 with a 4.49 ERA and 85 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 6.35 ERA against San Francisco this year.

The Giants are sending righty Chris Stratton (8-7, 5.52 ERA) to the mound. Stratton has 79 strikeouts and 41 walks to his name, as well as a 1.55 WHIP. Stratton hasn’t faced the Pirates yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

San Francisco’s pitching staff has given up 4.3 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.27, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.2. The bullpen has a 3.51 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.6 K/9.

The San Francisco hitters have put up 4.0 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .253/.306/.388 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Brandon Crawford and outfielder Andrew McCutchen have led the Giants’ offense this year. Crawford is hitting .279/.347/.435 with 11 home runs, 45 RBIs and 47 runs scored, and McCutchen is hitting .263 with 12 homers, 46 RBIs and 55 runs.

For the visiting squad, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.21 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 7.33 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.21, along with a WHIP of 1.31 and a K-per-9 of 9.68.

The Pirates offense has slashed .253/.322/.413 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Pittsburgh’s offense has been fueled by outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte, who collectively have swatted 27 home runs. Dickerson is slashing .314/.348/.508 with 11 home runs, 44 RBIs and 50 runs scored, while Marte (.282/.329/.478) is up to 16 homers, 54 RBIs, 59 runs and 25 steals.

The Giants have gained 5.8 units and are 39-29 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 29 of those games, compared to 36 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.

Pittsburgh Pirates at San Francisco Giants Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in only two of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
  • The Pirates have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Giants have hit 10 over their last 10.
  • Pittsburgh fielders have 11 errors over the last 10 games, compared to four errors for San Francisco over its last 10.
  • The Pirates have dropped four of their last five games SU.