San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Milwaukee Brewers are paying a visit to AT&T Park to take on the San Francisco Giants. The game gets underway 10:15 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will televise this NL showdown.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants Odds

Vegas is listing Milwaukee (+120) as the underdog to San Francisco (-130). Bettors can gamble on the game’s total with odds listed at -125 for over 8 runs and +105 for under 8. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at Brewers +1.5 runs (-175) and Giants -1.5 runs (+155).

The Brewers have gone 58-46 SU this year and are 53-50 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 10.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 0.1 units ATS. Milwaukee is 3-5 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Giants, on the other hand, are 52-51 SU and 57-45 ATS. They’ve gained 8.1 units for moneyline bettors and 11.2 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Giants games have an over/under record of 47-52-3 in 2018. Milwaukee has been a decent under bet with a total record of 45-55-3.

Southpaw Wade Miley will get the start for Milwaukee. Miley is 1-1 with a 1.56 ERA and 11 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Giants this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Giants will turn to Dereck Rodriguez (5-1, 2.72 ERA) to the mound. Rodriguez has 42 strikeouts and 13 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.15. Rodriguez did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.

Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.86 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.81 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.31, along with a WHIP of 1.24 and a K/9 of 10.14.

The Brewers offense has slashed .244/.317/.406 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain continue to lead Milwaukee’s hitters. Yelich is slashing .310/.377/.500 with 13 home runs, 52 RBIs, 64 runs and 13 stolen bases, while Cain is hitting .296 with eight homers, 28 RBIs, 52 runs and 18 steals.

For the home team, San Francisco’s pitching staff has allowed 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.22, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.1. The bullpen has a 3.57 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

The San Francisco offense is putting up 4.1 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .221/.254/.354 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Brandon Crawford and right fielder Andrew McCutchen have led the Giants’ hitters this year. Crawford is slashing .284/.354/.447 with 10 home runs, 41 RBIs and 44 runs scored, and McCutchen’s line is .257/.348/.411 with 10 homers, 42 RBIs, 51 runs and nine stolen bases.

The Giants have lost 0.4 units and are 21-20 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 22 of those games, as opposed to 19 that’ve gone under against lefty starters.

Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Milwaukee has tallied 11 extra-base hits over its last five contests. San Francisco has 13 XBH over its last five.
  • Milwaukee fielders have 11 errors over the last 10 games, compared to four errors for San Francisco over its last 10.
  • Each team has hit seven home runs over its last 10 games.