San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies Free Pick

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Colorado Rockies will make a road trip to PETCO Park to do battle against their divisional rival San Diego Padres. The matchup begins at 10:10 p.m. ET and you can watch the game on either ATRM or FSSD.

Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres Odds

The Padres are 52-83 straight up (SU) and 63-71 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 18.0 units for moneyline bettors and 28.1 units (ATS). San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Rockies, on the other hand, have gone 72-60 SU this year and are 68-64 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 13.2 units for moneyline bettors and 3.1 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

San Diego games have had an over/under record of 64-65-5 in 2018. Rockies games have gone under 69 times, gone over 57 times and pushed on six occasions.

Right-hander German Marquez is projected to start for Colorado. Marquez (11-9, 4.21 ERA) has racked up 160 strikeouts in 149.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA against San Diego this year (two starts).

The Padres are planning to start Eric Lauer (5-7, 5.30 ERA), who has 75 strikeouts and 37 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.71. Lauer is 0-1 with three strikeouts and an 18.00 ERA in one start against Colorado this year.

Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.37 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.42 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.92, along with a K-per-9 of 8.92.

Rockies hitters have slashed .255/.322/.431 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Colorado’s hitters have been paced by shortstop Trevor Story and third baseman Nolan Arenado, who have combined to launch 57 home runs. Story is hitting .291/.347/.538 with 26 home runs, 85 RBIs, 68 runs and 21 stolen bases, while Arenado (.305/.387/.568) has produced 31 homers, 91 RBIs and 83 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.16, a WHIP of 1.49 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 3.56 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 10.0 K/9. In 58 divisional games, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.74 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.47.

The San Diego offense is putting up 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .264/.295/.440 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Padres’ offense has been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis. Hosmer is slashing .253/.315/.391 with 13 home runs, 56 RBIs and 59 runs scored, and the line for Galvis stands at .240/.294/.370 with 11 homers, 56 RBIs and 49 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 4.3 units and are 47-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 40 of those games, as opposed to 48 that’ve hit the under against righty starters.

Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • Colorado has tallied 20 extra-base hits over its last five outings. San Diego has 17 XBH over its last five.
  • Colorado has posted 23.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 25.8 over its last five.
  • Both teams have hit 12 home runs over their last 10 outings.