San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves Free Preview

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The San Diego Padres will be taking on the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. This NL matchup will get underway at 5:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports San Diego to catch the action.

San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Atlanta (-180) as the favorite over San Diego (+170). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -110 for over 8.5 runs and -110 for under 8.5. The game’s runline odds sit at -130 for betting the Padres +1.5 runs and +110 for the Braves -1.5.

The Braves are 40-29 straight up (SU) and 38-29 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 17.1 units for moneyline bettors and 7.5 units (ATS). Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Padres have gone 34-38 SU this year and are 36-35 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 3.1 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 7.8 units ATS. San Diego is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.

Braves games have an over/under record of 31-33-3 so far in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 33-36-2.

Right-hander Jordan Lyles will get the nod for San Diego. Lyles is 2-3 with a 4.83 ERA and 50 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with a 16.62 ERA against Atlanta this year.

The Braves are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Sean Newcomb (7-2, 2.92 ERA), who has 74 strikeouts and 35 walks, as well as a 1.23 WHIP. Newcomb is 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against San Diego this year.

San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.86 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.98 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.12, along with a WHIP of 1.48.

Padres hitters have slashed .236/.301/.376 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game this season, including 3.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

San Diego’s hitters have been paced by first baseman Eric Hosmer and left fielder Jose Pirela. Hosmer is slashing .287/.365/.475 with nine home runs, 33 RBIs and 35 runs scored, while Pirela has a .277 average with one homers, 21 RBIs and 40 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 3.35, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has a 4.09 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.

The Atlanta offense is putting up 4.9 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .226/.281/.415 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Braves’ hitters have been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis. Freeman is slashing .342/.434/.597 with 15 home runs, 49 RBIs, 46 runs and six stolen bases, and the line for Markakis stands at .325/.388/.485 with eight homers, 44 RBIs and 41 runs.

The Padres have lost 1.5 units and are 8-13 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 12.9 units and are 29-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 19 of those games, compared to 24 that’ve cashed the under.

San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in only one of San Diego’s last seven outings.
  • The Padres have won three of their last four games SU.
  • San Diego has recorded 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.4 over its last five.
  • The Padres have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.