San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The San Diego Padres will be taking on the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. Fox Sports San Diego will be televising this NL showdown and the first pitch will be at 7:35 p.m. ET.

San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Atlanta (-135) as the favorite over San Diego (+125). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -120 and the under for +100. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Padres +1.5 runs (-170) and Braves -1.5 runs (+150).

The Braves are 40-28 straight up (SU) and 37-29 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 16.1 units for moneyline bettors and 6.1 units (ATS). Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. On the other hand the Padres are 33-38 SU and have gone 36-34 ATS. In total the team’s gained 4.1 units for moneyline bettors but have lost 6.2 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.

Neither team has positioned itself as a strong over/under play this year. Braves games have a 31-32-3 over/under record so far in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 33-35-2.

Clayton Richard will get the start for San Diego. The southpaw Richard is 5-6 with a 4.40 ERA and 71 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA against Atlanta this year.

The Braves are putting the ball in the hands of righty Brandon McCarthy (5-3 5.03 ERA) who has 56 strikeouts and 20 walks as well as a 1.49 WHIP. McCarthy hasn’t faced the Padres yet this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0 2.57 ERA and six strikeouts across seven innings).

As a unit Atlanta’s pitchers have yielded 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.35 a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has a 3.88 ERA 1.33 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.

Atlanta’s offense is putting up 4.9 runs per contest including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .267/.305/.455 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Braves’ offense has been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and outfielder Nick Markakis. Freeman is hitting .342/.433/.588 with 14 home runs 48 RBIs 45 runs and six stolen bases while the line for Markakis stands at .325/.386/.487 with eight homers 44 RBIs and 41 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.89 ERA 1.48 WHIP and 7.96 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.15 along with a WHIP of 1.48.

The Padres offense has slashed .233/.299/.373 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this year including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

First baseman Eric Hosmer and left fielder Jose Pirela continue to lead San Diego’s offense. Hosmer is slashing .289/.368/.480 with nine home runs 33 RBIs and 34 runs scored. Pirela (.277/.326/.352) has produced zero homers 19 RBIs and 38 runs scored.

The Padres have gained 5.6 units and are 28-21 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 20 of those games as opposed to 27 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand the Braves have netted 4.2 units and are 9-12 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 12 of those games compared to nine that went under.

San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves ATS Winner – Padres O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in just one of San Diego’s last seven games.
  • Atlanta has posted 22.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.8 over its last five.
  • The Padres have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 13 over their last 10.