Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants Free Pick

betdsiBaseball, MLB

The Pittsburgh Pirates will head west to AT&T Park to face the San Francisco Giants. This NL showdown starts at 10:15 p.m. ET and fans can catch the game on both ATPT and NSBA.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Pittsburgh (+115) as the underdog to San Francisco (-125). The total sits at eight runs and bettors can take either the over or the under for -110. The game’s runline odds sit at -180 for taking the Pirates +1.5 runs and +160 for the Giants -1.5 runs.

The Pirates have gone 57-56 SU this year and are 55-60 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.1 units for moneyline bettors, despite having lost 7.3 units ATS. The Giants, on the other hand, are 57-57 SU and 63-52 ATS. They’ve gained 5.7 units for moneyline bettors and 9.3 units ATS.

San Francisco games have had an over/under record of 53-58-4 in 2018. The Pirates have an over/under record of 55-52-8.

Right-hander Trevor Williams is projected to start for Pittsburgh. Williams (9-8, 3.88 ERA) has racked up 80 strikeouts in 116 innings so far. This will be his first start against San Francisco this year. He made two starts against the Giants in 2017, posting a 0-0 record against them with a 2.25 ERA and five strikeouts.

The Giants are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Andrew Suarez (4-8, 4.64 ERA), who’s got 96 strikeouts and 26 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.33. Suarez is 0-2 with nine strikeouts and an 8.00 ERA across two starts against Pittsburgh this year.

San Francisco’s pitching staff has given up 4.3 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.27, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.2. The bullpen has a 3.51 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.6 K/9.

San Francisco’s hitters are putting up 4.0 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .253/.306/.388 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Giants’ offense has been led by shortstop Brandon Crawford and right fielder Andrew McCutchen. Crawford is hitting .279/.347/.435 with 11 home runs, 45 RBIs and 47 runs scored, while McCutchen’s line sits at .263/.358/.421 with 12 homers, 46 RBIs and 55 runs.

In the other dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.21 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 7.33 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.21, along with a K/9 of 9.68.

The Pirates offense has slashed .253/.322/.413 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte continue to lead Pittsburgh’s hitters. Dickerson is slashing .314/.348/.508 with 11 home runs, 44 RBIs and 50 runs scored, while Marte (.282/.329/.478) is up to 16 homers, 54 RBIs, 59 runs and 25 stolen bases.

The Pirates have lost 7.3 units and are 12-20 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 20 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 5.8 units and are 39-29 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 29 of those games, compared to 36 that’ve gone under.

Pittsburgh Pirates at San Francisco Giants Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends,

  • The under has cashed in three of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
  • The Pirates have dropped four of their last five games SU.
  • Pittsburgh fielders have 11 errors over the last 10 games, compared to four errors for San Francisco over its last 10.
  • The Pirates have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Giants have hit 10 over their last 10.