Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Pittsburgh Pirates are playing host to the Arizona Diamondbacks at PNC Park. Fox Sports Arizona is in line to broadcast this NL matchup and the action gets going at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds

Pittsburgh (-110) is favored against Arizona (+100) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). The game’s runline odds stand at -210 for taking the Diamondbacks +1.5 runs and +175 for the Pirates -1.5.

The Diamondbacks have gone 40-33 SU this year and are 39-34 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 6.8 units for moneyline bettors and 8.4 units ATS. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 36-37 SU and 32-41 ATS. The team has lost 3.4 units for moneyline bettors and 11.8 units ATS.

Neither team has positioned itself as a strong over/under bet this year. Pirates games have a 34-33-6 over/under record so far in 2018. The Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 35-34-4.

Right-hander Zack Godley will get the start for the visiting Diamondbacks. Godley (7-5, 4.77 ERA) has recorded 78 strikeouts in 77.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Pirates this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 4.50 ERA and six strikeouts over six innings).

The Pirates are putting the ball in the hands of righty Chad Kuhl (5-4, 3.76 ERA), who has 75 strikeouts and 30 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.37. Kuhl only made one start against the Diamondbacks in 2017 (0-0, 3.60 ERA and four strikeouts across five innings).

As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.43 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.

The Pittsburgh hitters have put up 4.6 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .250/.312/.410 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Pirates’ batters have been led by Corey Dickerson, who is hitting .302/.336/.453 with five home runs, 32 RBIs and 32 runs scored.

For the visitors, Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.15 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.02 K/9. The bullpen has managed an excellent ERA of just 2.55, along with a K/9 of 7.88.

Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .227/.308/.399 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 6.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Arizona’s offense has been led by David Peralta. Peralta is slashing .277/.337/.500 with 14 home runs, 39 RBIs and 33 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks just dropped a 5-4 heartbreaker to the Angels, while the Pirates are coming off of a 3-2 loss against the Brewers.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in only two of Arizona’s last seven games.
  • The Diamondbacks have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit nine over their last 10.
  • Pittsburgh has posted 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.2 over its last five.