Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals Free Preview

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Washington Nationals will pay a visit to Philadelphia to play their NL East rival Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The action will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be showing the game.

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Washington (+140) is entering this one as the underdog against Philadelphia (-150) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 7.5 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at -155 for the Nationals +1.5 runs and +135 for the Phillies -1.5.

The Phillies are 42-36 straight up (SU) and 33-44 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 5.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 18.0 units (ATS). Philadelphia has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 41-37 SU and have gone 38-40 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 11.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 4.3 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 36-37-4 so far in 2018. The Nationals have been a decent under bet with a total record of 31-45-2.

Tanner Roark is getting the nod for the visiting Nationals. The right-handed Roark (3-8, 4.27 ERA) has racked up 79 strikeouts in 92.2 innings so far. He’s 0-2 with 16 strikeouts and a 7.59 ERA against Philadelphia this year (two starts).

The Phillies are putting the ball in the hands of righty Aaron Nola (9-2, 2.58 ERA), who has 99 strikeouts and 29 walks to his name, as well as a 1.02 WHIP. Nola is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA in one start against Washington this year.

Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.14 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 28 games against divisional foes, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.47 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.21.

The Philadelphia hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .225/.299/.369 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Phillies’ hitters have been led by outfielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is hitting .294/.348/.486 with 13 home runs, 45 RBIs and 40 runs scored, and Hernandez’s line sits at .268/.378/.393 with eight homers, 27 RBIs, 55 runs and 12 steals.

For the visiting squad, Washington’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.53 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.64 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.86, along with a K-per-9 of 8.94.

The Nationals offense has slashed .238/.318/.393 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game this year, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon continue to lead Washington’s hitters. The speedy Turner is slashing .261/.346/.397 with eight home runs, 27 RBIs, 41 runs and 21 stolen bases, while Rendon (.284/.352/.500) has produced nine homers, 31 RBIs and 30 runs scored.

The Nationals have gained 3.5 units and are 29-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 31 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 5.3 units and are 25-32 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 26 of those games, as opposed to 28 which went under the total.

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in three of Washington’s last seven games.
  • The Nationals have dropped four of their last five games SU.
  • Washington has recorded 20 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17 over its last five.
  • The Nationals have hit four home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 16 over their last 10.