Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals Free Pick 06/22/18

betdsiBaseball, MLB

The Philadelphia Phillies are making a road trip to Nationals Park to play their NL East foe Washington Nationals. The action will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network to catch the game.

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Washington (-135) as the favorite over Philadelphia (+125). The total stands at nine runs and bettors can wager on the over for +100 and the under for -120. The game’s current runline odds stand at -170 for taking the Phillies +1.5 runs and +150 for the Nationals -1.5.

The Phillies are 39-33 SU and are 31-41 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.7 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 15.9 units ATS. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 40-33 SU and 36-36 ATS. They’ve lost 7.5 units for moneyline bettors and 1.6 units ATS.

Washington games have an over/under record of 28-42-2 so far in 2018. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 34-34-4.

The right-handed Zach Eflin will get the nod for the visiting Phillies. Eflin is 4-2 with a 3.43 ERA and 46 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Nationals will put the ball in the right hand of Tanner Roark (3-7, 3.87 ERA, 1.18 WHIP), who’s got 72 strikeouts and 29 walks. Roark is 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 4.26 ERA in one start against Philadelphia this year.

Washington’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.29 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.61 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 22 games against divisional opponents, Nationals starters have an ERA of 3.52 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.52.

The Washington offense is putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .283/.360/.404 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have led the charge for the Nationals’ offense this year. Turner is slashing .267/.350/.404 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs, 40 runs and 20 steals, while Rendon’s line sits at .282/.357/.480 with seven homers, 28 RBIs and 27 runs.

For the visitors, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.83 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.10 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.13, along with a WHIP of 1.21.

Phillies hitters have slashed .233/.320/.391 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Philadelphia’s offensive production has been fueled by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez, who collectively have swatted 20 home runs. Herrera is slashing .299/.355/.491 with 12 home runs, 41 RBIs and 35 runs scored, while Hernandez (.262/.370/.393) has produced eight homers, 27 RBIs, 51 runs and 10 stolen bases.

The Phillies have gained 5.8 units and are 23-29 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 24 of those games, compared to 25 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Nationals have netted 6.1 units and are 27-22 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 20 of those games, compared to 28 which went under the total.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends,

  • The under has hit in four of Washington’s last seven games.
  • The Phillies have won four of their last five games SU.
  • Philadelphia has posted 21.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.8 over its last five.
  • The Phillies have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.