Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Matchup

betdsiBaseball, MLB

The Philadelphia Phillies will make a road trip to Toronto to take on the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. The game gets underway 7:07 p.m. ET and RSN Sports will televise this interleague matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Toronto (+110) as the underdog to Philadelphia (-120). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +100 for over nine runs and -120 for under nine. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at Phillies -1.5 runs (+125) and Blue Jays +1.5 runs (-145).

The Phillies have gone 69-58 SU this year and are 62-64 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 8.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having lost 11.1 units ATS. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 58-69 SU and 54-73 ATS. The team has lost 8.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 28.3 units ATS. Toronto has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Toronto games have a 65-54-8 over/under record in 2018. Philadelphia has been a good under bet with a total record of 55-66-5.

The right-handed Jake Arrieta is projected to start for the visiting Phillies. Arrieta is 9-8 with a 3.25 ERA and 101 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Blue Jays this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 1.42 ERA and six strikeouts over six and one-third innings).

The Blue Jays are putting the ball in the left hand of Ryan Borucki (2-3, 4.27 ERA), who’s got 33 strikeouts and 20 walks as well as a 1.56 WHIP. Borucki did not accrue any MLB pitching stats in 2017.

As a unit, Toronto’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.99, a WHIP of 1.42 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.46 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.

The Toronto hitters have put up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .280/.339/.542 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Blue Jays’ offense has been led by first baseman Justin Smoak and right fielder Kevin Pillar. Smoak is slashing .253/.361/.463 with 19 home runs, 61 RBIs and 55 runs scored, while Pillar’s line is .257/.286/.426 with 10 homers, 49 RBIs, 52 runs and 13 stolen bases.

For the visitors, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.75 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.83 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.08, along with a K-per-9 of 9.27.

The Phillies offense has slashed .236/.317/.394 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Philadelphia’s offense has been sparked by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and right fielder Odubel Herrera, who collectively have belted 31 home runs. Hernandez is slashing .257/.364/.366 with 11 home runs, 40 RBIs, 79 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Herrera is hitting .266/.319/.443 with 20 homers, 64 RBIs and 55 runs scored.

The Phillies have gained 0.3 units and are 14-15 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 6.2 units and are 36-47 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 44 of those games, compared to 35 that went under the total.

Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes,

  • Philadelphia has logged 14 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Toronto has 24 XBH over its last five.
  • Philadelphia fielders have 13 errors over the last 10 games, compared to five errors for Toronto over its last 10.
  • The Phillies have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 14 over their last 10.