Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Free Preview

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The New York Mets are playing host to their division rival Philadelphia Phillies at Citi Field. SportsNet New York will showcase the action and the game gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Philadelphia (-155) as the favorite over New York (+145). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over 7.5 runs and +100 for under 7.5. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds coming in at Phillies -1.5 runs (-110) and Mets +1.5 runs (-110).

The Mets are 63-76 straight up (SU) and 67-71 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 12.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.1 units (ATS). The Phillies are 73-66 SU and have gone 67-72 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 3.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have lost 14.1 units ATS.

Mets games have had an over/under record of 61-70-7 in 2018. Phillies games have gone under 73 times, gone over 61 times and pushed on five occasions.

The right-handed Aaron Nola is projected to start for Philadelphia. Nola (15-4, 2.23 ERA) has recorded 188 strikeouts in 181.2 innings so far. He’s 3-0 with 29 strikeouts and a 1.44 ERA against New York this year (four starts).

The Mets will turn to lefty Steven Matz (5-11, 4.20 ERA), who has 124 strikeouts and 45 walks to his credit as well as a 1.27 WHIP. Matz is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 6.43 ERA over two starts against Philadelphia this year.

As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.5 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.77, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 5.01 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 56 divisional games, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.64 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.05.

The New York offense has produced 4.2 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .274/.319/.413 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Amed Rosario has helped lead the Mets’ offense this season with seven home runs, 43 RBIs, 63 runs and 18 steals.

In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.86 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.93 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.96, along with a WHIP of 1.23 and a K-per-9 of 9.32.

The Phillies offense has slashed .237/.317/.395 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Philadelphia’s hitters have been paced by Cesar Hernandez. Hernandez is slashing .252/.360/.356 with 11 home runs, 45 RBIs, 82 runs and 17 stolen bases.

The Mets are coming off of a 7-3 win against the Dodgers, while the Phillies just dropped a 2-1 game to the Marlins.

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes,

  • The under has hit in three of New York’s last seven games.
  • The Phillies have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit seven over their last 10.
  • The Philadelphia defense has allowed two errors over its last five games, compared to five errors for New York over its last five.
  • The Mets have won four of their last five games SU.