The New York Mets are set to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in the 2 game of their NL East doubleheader. The game gets underway 7:35 p.m. ET and Pix11 will televise the action.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
The Phillies are 66-53 straight up (SU) and 58-60 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 11.6 units for moneyline bettors while earning 10.1 units (ATS). Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Mets are 51-67 SU and have gone 53-63 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 19.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 16.3 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.
Phillies games have an over/under record of 49-64-5 in 2018. The Mets have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 50-60-6.
Steven Matz will get the start for the visiting Mets. The left-handed Matz (5-9, 4.35 ERA) has racked up 99 strikeouts in 107.2 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA against Philadelphia this year.
The Phillies will put the ball in the right hand of Zach Eflin (8-4, 3.57 ERA), who’s got 86 strikeouts and 19 walks as well as a 1.10 WHIP. Eflin is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA in one start against New York this year.
New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.00 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.02 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.89, along with a K-per-9 of 8.19.
The Mets offense has slashed .232/.314/.385 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game this year, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
New York’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and right fielder Brandon Nimmo, who have combined to swat 33 home runs. Cabrera is slashing .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Nimmo (.263/.387/.503) has produced 15 homers, 39 RBIs and 65 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.71, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 3.76 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 43 divisional games, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.41 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.21.
The Philadelphia offense has put up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .213/.275/.323 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ hitters have been led by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is slashing .270/.324/.447 with 19 home runs, 62 RBIs and 54 runs scored, and Hernandez’s line sits at .258/.368/.365 with 10 homers, 38 RBIs, 73 runs and 14 stolen bases.
The Mets have lost 13.2 units and are 40-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over’s hit in 38 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve hit the under against lefty starters.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER