The Atlanta Braves are heading north to face off against their divisional foe Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and FOX Sports South will broadcast the matchup.
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Philadelphia (+110) as the underdog to Atlanta (-120). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over 8.5 runs and +100 for under 8.5. The game’s runline odds sit at +125 for picking the Braves -1.5 runs and -145 for the Phillies +1.5.
The Braves have gone 89-70 SU this year and are 81-76 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 22.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 1.6 units ATS. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 78-81 SU and 71-87 ATS. They’ve lost 8.7 units for moneyline bettors and 28.3 units ATS.
Phillies games have an over/under record of 73-79-6 in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 76-75-6.
Mike Foltynewicz will get the nod for the visiting Braves. The right-handed Foltynewicz is 12-10 with a 2.88 ERA and 193 strikeouts. He’s 2-1 with 31 strikeouts and a 2.08 ERA against Philadelphia this year (five starts).
The Phillies are putting the ball in the right hand of Jerad Eickhoff (0-0, 9.00 ERA), who’s got three punchouts and zero walks this season as well as a 2.50 WHIP. Eickhoff has yet to face the Braves this year, but he made five starts against them in 2017, compiling a 1-2 record with a 4.94 ERA and 21 strikeouts.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.15, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 4.18 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 73 games against NL East foes, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.10 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.47.
The Philadelphia offense has produced 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 1.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .204/.287/.333 over its last five matchups and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ batters have been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and right fielder Odubel Herrera. Hernandez is hitting .253/.355/.359 with 14 home runs, 57 RBIs, 89 runs and 19 steals, while Herrera’s line sits at .256/.313/.423 with 22 homers, 69 RBIs and 64 runs.
For the visitors, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.53 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.61 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.16, along with a K-per-9 of 8.92.
Braves hitters have slashed .257/.326/.419 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Atlanta’s offensive production has been powered by first baseman Freddie Freeman and outfielder Nick Markakis, who have combined to blast 37 home runs. Freeman is slashing .308/.386/.502 with 23 home runs, 95 RBIs and 94 runs scored, while Markakis is hitting .299/.366/.444 with 14 homers, 93 RBIs and 77 runs scored.
The Braves have gained 25.1 units and are 63-50 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 53 of those games, compared to 55 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Phillies have lost 12.4 units and are 54-67 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 55 of those games, as opposed to 62 which went under the total.
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
