Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers Matchup

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Milwaukee Brewers are going for their fourth win in a row as they play host to the Philadelphia Phillies at Miller Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be airing this NL showdown.

Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Philadelphia (+125) is coming into this one as the underdog to Milwaukee (-135) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at -170 for the Phillies +1.5 runs and +150 for the Brewers -1.5 runs.

The Phillies have gone 35-32 SU this year and are 30-36 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 3.4 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 11.2 units ATS. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 42-27 SU and 38-30 ATS. They’ve gained 14.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.3 units ATS.

Brewers games have an over/under record of 26-40-2 so far in 2018. The Phillies have an over/under record of 30-32-4.

Zach Eflin will get the nod for the Phils. The right-handed Eflin is 3-2 with a 3.63 ERA and 40 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against Milwaukee this year.

The Brewers are sending righty Junior Guerra (3-4, 2.71 ERA) to the mound. Guerra has 60 strikeouts and 23 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.15. Guerra has yet to face the Phillies this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 11.25 ERA and three strikeouts across four innings).

As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 3.6 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 3.92 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.66, a WHIP of 1.15 and a K/9 of 10.5.

The Milwaukee hitters have put up 4.4 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .237/.299/.391 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Lorenzo Cain has helped lead the Brewers’ offense this year with eight home runs, 24 RBIs, 42 runs and 14 steals.

In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.78 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.94 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.00, along with a WHIP of 1.21 and a K-per-9 of 9.52.

The Phillies offense has slashed .231/.315/.383 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Odubel Herrera has led Philadelphia’s offense so far and is slashing .289/.348/.442 with eight home runs, 35 RBIs and 29 runs scored.

The Brewers are coming off a 13-2 victory in the prior game of this series.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in four of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
  • The Phillies have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
  • Philadelphia has posted 18.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.8 over its last five.