Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

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The Philadelphia Phillies will head west to face the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will broadcast this NL matchup and the game gets going at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Milwaukee (-135) is favored over Philadelphia (+125) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at nine runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -170 for the Phillies +1.5 runs and +150 for the Brewers -1.5.

The Phillies have gone 35-31 SU this year and are 29-36 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 2.4 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having lost 12.8 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 41-27 SU and 38-30 ATS. The team’s gained 14.9 units for moneyline bettors and 6.3 units ATS. Milwaukee has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Brewers games have a 26-40-2 over/under record so far in 2018. The Phillies have an over/under record of 29-32-4.

Jake Arrieta will get the nod for the visiting Phillies. The right-handed Arrieta (5-4, 2.97 ERA) has recorded 48 punchouts in 69.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA against Milwaukee this year.

The Brewers will put the ball in the left hand of Brent Suter (6-4, 4.61 ERA, 1.24 WHIP), who has 59 strikeouts and 15 walks this season. Suter is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA in one start against Philadelphia this year.

Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.72 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.00 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.88, along with a K-per-9 of 9.47.

The Phillies offense has slashed .231/.315/.383 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game this year, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez continue to lead Philadelphia’s hitters. Herrera is hitting .286/.346/.429 with seven home runs, 34 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Hernandez (.256/.368/.384) is up to seven homers, 22 RBIs, 45 runs and 10 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have given up 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.97, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.65, a WHIP of 1.14 and a K/9 of 10.5.

The Milwaukee offense is putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .234/.296/.398 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich have led the Brewers’ batters this year. Cain is hitting .288/.388/.442 with eight home runs, 22 RBIs, 40 runs and 13 stolen bases, while Yelich’s line is .302/.371/.473 with eight homers, 28 RBIs, 43 runs and seven stolen bases.

The Phillies have gained 0.8 units and are 8-11 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in nine of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 15.7 units and are 32-20 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 18 of those games, as opposed to 32 which went under the total.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends,

  • The under has hit in just two of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
  • The Phillies have won three of their last four games SU.
  • Milwaukee has posted 21.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.4 over its last five.
  • The Phillies have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.