Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets Matchup

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The New York Mets are set to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in Game 1 of a NL East doubleheader. The game will begin at 4:05 p.m. ET and the matchup will be shown on FB.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

The Phillies are 66-53 straight up (SU) and 58-60 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 11.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 10.1 units (ATS). Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Mets are 51-67 SU and have gone 53-63 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 19.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 16.3 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.

Philadelphia games have had an over/under record of 49-64-5 in 2018. The Mets have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 50-60-6.

Corey Oswalt will get the nod for New York. Oswalt is 1-2 with a 5.03 ERA and 26 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with seven strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Philadelphia this year.

The Phillies will turn to Ranger Suarez (1-0, 7.20 ERA) to the mound. Suarez has three strikeouts and one walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.40. Suarez has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.

Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.71, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 3.76 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 43 divisional games, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.41 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.21.

The Philadelphia offense has produced 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .213/.275/.323 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led the way for the Phillies’ offense this year. Herrera is hitting .270/.324/.447 with 19 home runs, 62 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Hernandez is hitting .258 with 10 homers, 38 RBIs, 73 runs and 14 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.00 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.02 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.89, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K/9 of 8.19.

The Mets offense has slashed .232/.314/.385 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and right fielder Brandon Nimmo have paced New York’s hitters. Cabrera is slashing .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Nimmo is hitting .263/.387/.503 with 15 homers, 39 RBIs and 65 runs scored.

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in six of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
  • The Mets have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
  • Philadelphia has posted 17.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.2 over its last five.
  • The Mets have won three of their last four games SU.