New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners Free Preview

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Seattle Mariners will be taking on the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. This AL showdown gets going at 1:05 p.m. ET and fans can watch it on either RTNW or YES.

Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees Odds

New York (-190) is hosting this one as the favorite over Seattle (+180) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 7 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at -125 for the Mariners +1.5 runs and +105 for the Yankees -1.5.

The Mariners are 46-28 SU and have gone 38-35 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 16.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.2 units ATS. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 49-22 SU and 39-31 ATS. They’ve gained 12.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.8 units ATS.

New York games have an over/under record of 31-36-3 so far in 2018. Seattle has an over/under record of 38-34-1.

Left-hander James Paxton is the probable starter for the visiting Mariners. Paxton (6-1, 3.53 ERA) has recorded 115 strikeouts in 91.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Yankees this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Yankees are sending righty Luis Severino (10-2, 2.09 ERA) to the mound. Severino has 118 strikeouts and 25 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 0.93. Severino only made one start against the Mariners in 2017 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and six strikeouts across seven innings).

As a unit, New York’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have a 3.75 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.86, a WHIP of 1.10 and a K/9 of 12.0.

New York’s hitters are putting up 5.3 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .274/.348/.512 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton have paced the Yankees’ hitters this year. Judge is hitting .281/.397/.558 with 18 home runs, 48 RBIs and 49 runs scored, and Stanton’s line is .255/.329/.504 with 18 homers, 42 RBIs and 44 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.03 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 7.89 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.78, along with a WHIP of 1.22 and a K-per-9 of 10.13.

The Mariners offense has slashed .258/.322/.420 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Jean Segura and outfielder Dee Gordon continue to lead Seattle’s offense. The speedy Segura is hitting .334/.359/.480 with six home runs, 44 RBIs, 52 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Gordon is hitting .292/.312/.364 with one homers, 17 RBIs, 32 runs and 19 stolen bases.

The Mariners have gained 17.8 units and are 25-23 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 27 of those games, as opposed to 21 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Yankees have netted 8.7 units and are 11-11 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in seven of those games, as opposed to 13 which went under the total.

Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

The over has hit in four of Seattle’s last seven outings. The Yankees have won six of their last seven games SU. The Seattle defense has allowed eight errors over the last 10 games, compared to three errors for New York over its last 10. Both teams have hit 17 home runs over their last 10 games.