New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers Free Pick

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Detroit Tigers will pay a visit to Bronx to play the Yankees at Yankee Stadium. This AL showdown will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Detroit.

Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees Odds

Vegas has listed New York (-290) as the favorite over Detroit (+245). The total sits at 9.5 runs and gamblers can take the over for even money (+100) or the under for -120. The game’s current runline odds sit at +120 for betting the Tigers +1.5 runs and -140 for the Yankees -1.5.

The Yankees are 84-49 straight up (SU) and 67-65 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a lot for gamblers, gaining 1.6 units for moneyline bettors while earning 6.1 units (ATS). New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Tigers have gone 53-80 SU this year and are 67-65 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 9.2 units for moneyline bettors and 8.8 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

New York games have an over/under record of 58-67-7 in 2018. The Tigers have also been a great under bet with a total record of 54-71-7.

Francisco Liriano will get the nod for Detroit. The left-handed Liriano is 3-9 with a 4.82 ERA and 80 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Yankees this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 3.60 ERA and five strikeouts across five innings).

The Yankees are turning to lefty J.A. Happ (15-6, 3.80 ERA), who’s got 162 strikeouts and 43 walks to his credit as well as a WHIP of 1.12. Happ is 0-1 with 12 strikeouts and a 9.28 ERA across two starts against Detroit this year.

Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.57 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.25 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.51, along with a WHIP of 1.32.

The Tigers offense has slashed .240/.300/.376 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this year, including 3.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).

Detroit’s hitters have been led by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is slashing .290/.344/.487 with 19 home runs, 73 RBIs and 70 runs scored, while Iglesias (.269/.310/.389) is up to five homers, 48 RBIs, 43 runs and 15 stolen bases.

For the home team, New York’s pitching staff has yielded 4.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 4.05, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.11, a WHIP of 1.18 and a K/9 of 11.3.

New York’s offense is putting up 5.2 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .227/.304/.380 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Giancarlo Stanton and Miguel Andujar have led the Yankees’ offense this year. Stanton is hitting .275/.349/.517 with 32 home runs, 82 RBIs and 85 runs scored, and Andujar’s line is .300/.331/.528 with 22 homers, 74 RBIs and 69 runs scored.

The Tigers have gained 5.0 units and are 20-13 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, as opposed to 15 that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Yankees have netted 8.3 units and are 17-20 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 15 of those games, as opposed to 18 which went under the total.

Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Detroit has tallied 10 extra-base hits over its last five games. New York has 11 XBH over its last five.
  • The Tigers have lost six of their last seven games SU.
  • The Detroit defense has allowed four errors over the last 10 games, compared to 12 errors for New York over its last 10.
  • The Tigers have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 14 over their last 10.