New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Matchup

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Tampa Bay Rays will take on their divisional rival New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. Fox Sports Sun will televise the action and the game gets going at 1:05 p.m. ET.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Odds

New York (-190) is hosting this one as the favorite over Tampa Bay (+180) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs (+105 for the over and -125 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -125 for the Rays +1.5 runs and +105 for the Yankees -1.5 runs.

The Rays have gone 61-59 SU this year and are 64-55 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 4.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.9 units ATS. Tampa Bay is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 75-45 SU and 60-59 ATS. The team’s gained 0.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 6.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

New York games have an over/under record of 52-60-7 in 2018. Tampa Bay has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 51-65-3.

Blake Snell will get the start for Tampa Bay. The left-handed Snell (13-5, 2.18 ERA) has racked up 143 strikeouts in 127 innings so far. He’s 0-2 with 13 strikeouts and a 9.72 ERA against New York this year (two starts).

The Yankees will turn to righty Masahiro Tanaka (9-3, 4.08 ERA) to the mound. Tanaka has 111 strikeouts and 29 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.10 WHIP. Tanaka is 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Tampa Bay this year.

As a unit, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.0 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have a 4.06 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 3.20, a WHIP of 1.17 and a K/9 of 11.5. In 52 divisional games, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.25 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.41.

The New York offense is putting up 5.2 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .241/.313/.432 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Yankees’ hitters have been led by Giancarlo Stanton and Miguel Andujar. Stanton is hitting .279/.347/.528 with 30 home runs, 76 RBIs and 78 runs scored, while Andujar’s line is .296/.329/.525 with 19 homers, 59 RBIs and 60 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.77 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.25 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.84, along with a WHIP of 1.20.

The Rays offense has slashed .253/.328/.393 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Tampa Bay’s offensive production has been sparked by third baseman Matt Duffy and outfielder Mallex Smith. Duffy is hitting .297/.354/.376 with four home runs, 32 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Smith is hitting .297/.372/.426 with two homers, 29 RBIs, 46 runs and 25 stolen bases.

vThe Rays have lost 4.0 units and are 42-42 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 40 of those games, as opposed to 42 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Yankees have netted 11.5 units and are 16-18 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 14 of those games, compared to 16 that went under.

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in only two of Tampa Bay’s last seven contests.
  • Tampa Bay has recorded 18.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.2 over its last five.
  • The Rays have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.