New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Kansas City Royals will head east to play the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. Fox Sports Kansas City will broadcast this AL showdown and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees Odds

Kansas City (+235) is the underdog to New York (-265) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Royals +1.5 runs (+105) and Yankees -1.5 runs (-125).

The Royals have gone 31-70 SU this year and are 46-54 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 26.3 units for moneyline bettors and 17.6 units ATS. Kansas City has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 64-36 SU and 51-48 ATS. They’ve gained 5.9 units for moneyline bettors while earning 0.7 units ATS. New York has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Yankees games have had an over/under record of 44-51-4 in 2018. The Royals have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 41-54-5.

The right-handed Jakob Junis is the probable starter for the visiting Royals. Junis is 5-10 with a 5.03 ERA and 98 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with three strikeouts and a 3.38 ERA against New York this year.

The Yankees are sending righty Sonny Gray (7-7, 5.34 ERA) to the mound. Gray has 91 strikeouts and 42 walks to his name, as well as a 1.49 WHIP. Gray is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.13 ERA in one start against Kansas City this year.

As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.02 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.76, a WHIP of 1.08 and a K/9 of 11.6.

The New York hitters are putting up 5.2 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .281/.337/.360 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge have paced the Yankees’ offense this year. Stanton is slashing .283/.349/.514 with 23 home runs, 60 RBIs and 61 runs scored, and Judge’s line is .283/.396/.547 with 26 homers, 61 RBIs and 69 runs.

For the visiting squad, Kansas City’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.25 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 7.38 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.46, along with a K/9 of 6.90.

Royals hitters have slashed .240/.303/.370 on their way to 3.6 runs scored per game this season, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Kansas City’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Whit Merrifield and third baseman Mike Moustakas. The speedy Merrifield is slashing .300/.369/.426 with five home runs, 32 RBIs, 47 runs and 19 steals. Moustakas (.249/.310/.468) is up to 20 homers, 62 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

The Royals have lost 27.1 units and are 27-41 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 29 of those games, as opposed to 34 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 8.8 units and are 36-33 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 32 of those games, compared to 35 which went under the total.

Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • Kansas City has tallied 15 extra-base hits over its last five games. New York has 11 XBH over its last five.
  • New York has recorded 24.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.8 over its last five.
  • Each team has hit 11 home runs over its last 10 games.