New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Free Pick

betdsiBaseball, MLB

The struggling Baltimore Orioles are trying to avoid losing their fifth in a row as they play host to the New York Yankees at Camden Yards. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the matchup and the game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

Vegas has listed Baltimore (+165) as the underdog to New York (-175). The total stands at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -120 and the under for +100. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Yankees -1.5 runs (-120) and Orioles +1.5 runs (+100).

The Orioles are 37-90 straight up (SU) and 53-74 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 44.7 units for moneyline bettors and 31.9 units (ATS). Baltimore has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Yankees are 79-47 SU and have gone 63-63 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors and 7.8 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Baltimore games have had an over/under record of 54-68-5 in 2018. The Yankees have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 56-63-7.

Southpaw CC Sabathia is the projected starter for the visiting Yankees. Sabathia (7-4, 3.32 ERA) has racked up 106 strikeouts in 119.1 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with seven strikeouts and an 8.00 ERA against Baltimore this year (two starts).

The Orioles are putting the ball in the right hand of Alex Cobb (4-15, 5.09 ERA), who’s got 88 strikeouts and 34 walks this season as well as a 1.43 WHIP. Cobb is 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against New York this year.

Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 5.5 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 5.40 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.72 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 57 divisional games, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.56 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.67.

Baltimore’s hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 1.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .193/.253/.298 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Orioles’ hitters have been led by outfielder Adam Jones and shortstop Manny Machado. Jones is hitting .281/.315/.431 with 13 home runs, 49 RBIs and 46 runs scored, while Machado is hitting .315 with 24 homers, 65 RBIs and 48 runs.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.10 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.13 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.16, along with a K-per-9 of 11.40.

Yankees hitters have slashed .253/.333/.452 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game this year, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Giancarlo Stanton and Miguel Andujar continue to lead New York’s hitters. Stanton is slashing .286/.354/.541 with 32 home runs, 81 RBIs and 82 runs scored. Andujar (.295/.327/.523) has produced 20 homers, 66 RBIs and 64 runs scored.

The Yankees have lost 11.7 units and are 46-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 41 of those games, as opposed to 46 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 8.0 units and are 19-22 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 25 that’ve gone under.

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends,

  • The over has hit in four of New York’s last seven contests.
  • The Yankees have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
  • Baltimore has averaged 16.6 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 outings and 14.2 over its last five.
  • The Orioles have lost six of their last seven games SU.