New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Preview

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The New York Mets are ready to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona will be airing this NL showdown and the first pitch will be at 10:10 p.m. ET.

New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Vegas is listing New York (+145) as the underdog to Arizona (-155). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -110 for over 8 runs and -110 for under 8. Runline odds sit at -150 for taking the Mets +1.5 runs and +130 for the Diamondbacks -1.5.

The Mets are 28-38 SU and have gone 28-36 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 12.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.3 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 39-30 SU and 36-32 ATS. They’ve gained 8.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.8 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.

Diamondbacks games have an over/under record of 33-32-3 so far in 2018. Mets games have gone under 36 times, gone over 26 times and pushed on two occasions.

Left-hander Steven Matz will get the nod for the visiting Mets. Matz (2-4, 3.53 ERA) has recorded 54 strikeouts in 58.2 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA against Arizona this year.

The Diamondbacks are putting the ball in the left hand of Patrick Corbin (6-2, 3.10 ERA, 0.99 WHIP), who has 110 punchouts and 25 walks this season. Corbin is 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 3.38 ERA in one start against New York this year.

New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 3.86 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.50 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.60, along with a WHIP of 1.28 and a K/9 of 8.94.

Mets hitters have slashed .225/.304/.370 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 1.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have paced New York’s offense. Cabrera is hitting .268/.307/.472 with 11 home runs, 36 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Rosario is hitting .238 with four homers, 19 RBIs and 24 runs scored.

For the home team, Arizona’s pitching staff has given up 3.7 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.08, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.48, a WHIP of 1.09 and a K/9 of 7.9.

The Arizona hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 7.5 per game over its last 10 games and 7.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .291/.387/.503 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Diamondbacks’ batters have been led by outfielder David Peralta and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Peralta is slashing .284/.347/.514 with 14 home runs, 36 RBIs and 33 runs scored, while Goldschmidt’s line is .265/.372/.522 with 14 homers, 34 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

The Mets have lost 4.3 units and are 8-9 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under against lefties. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 11.2 units and are 15-10 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 10 that went under the total.

New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in just one of New York’s last seven contests.
  • The Mets have lost 12 of their last 13 games SU while the Diamondbacks have taken seven of their last eight.
  • New York has posted 9.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 10.4 over its last five.
  • The Mets have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.