New York Mets at San Francisco Giants Free Pick

betdsiBaseball, MLB

The New York Mets are traveling west to take on the San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park. SportsNet New York will televise this NL matchup and the action gets going at 10:15 p.m. ET.

New York Mets at San Francisco Giants Odds

Both teams have identical moneyline odds (-105) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Mets -1.5 runs (+140) and Giants +1.5 runs (-160).

The Giants are 67-68 straight up (SU) and 75-60 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 6.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.6 units (ATS). The Mets have gone 59-74 SU this year and are 63-69 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 15.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 11.9 units ATS.

Giants games have a 59-71-5 over/under record in 2018. The Mets have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 59-67-6.

Zack Wheeler will get the start for New York. The right-handed Wheeler is 9-6 with a 3.46 ERA and 150 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA against San Francisco this year.

The Giants are putting the ball in the left hand of Andrew Suarez (5-9, 4.42 ERA, 1.32 WHIP), who’s got 108 strikeouts and 34 walks this season. Suarez hasn’t faced the Mets yet this year and did not accrue any MLB pitching stats last season.

New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.83 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.04 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.91, along with a K/9 of 8.29.

Mets hitters have slashed .236/.315/.389 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

New York’s hitters have been led by shortstop Amed Rosario and second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera. The speedy Rosario is slashing .249/.290/.372 with seven home runs, 43 RBIs, 60 runs and 16 stolen bases. Cabrera is hitting .277 with 18 homers, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, San Francisco’s pitching staff has allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 4.00 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.59 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

The San Francisco hitters have put up 3.9 runs per contest, including 2.9 per game over its last 10 games and 2.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .182/.269/.294 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Giants’ hitters have been led by right fielder Andrew McCutchen and shortstop Brandon Crawford. McCutchen is slashing .255/.357/.415 with 15 home runs, 55 RBIs, 65 runs and 13 stolen bases, and Crawford’s line is .260/.328/.405 with 12 homers, 49 RBIs and 55 runs scored.

The Mets have lost 8.3 units and are 16-19 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 14 of those games, as opposed to 20 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 2.1 units and are 46-36 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 34 of those games, compared to 45 which went under the total.

New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes,

  • The over has cashed in only one of San Francisco’s last seven games.
  • New York fielders have four errors over the last 10 games, compared to nine errors for San Francisco over its last 10.
  • The Mets have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Giants have hit seven over their last 10.