New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Free Preview

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The New York Mets are set to play their NL East foe Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 6:05 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will televise the matchup.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Philadelphia (-155) is favored over New York (+145) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at seven runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Mets +1.5 runs (-150) and Phillies -1.5 runs (+130).

The Phillies are 67-54 straight up (SU) and 59-60 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 12.6 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 9.1 units (ATS). The Mets are 52-68 SU and have gone 54-63 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 18.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 14.9 units ATS.

Phillies games have an over/under record of 50-64-5 in 2018. The Mets have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 51-60-6.

The right-handed Noah Syndergaard is projected to start for the visiting Mets. Syndergaard is 8-2 with a 3.22 ERA and 100 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Philadelphia this year.

The Phillies are handing the ball to righty Aaron Nola (13-3, 2.28 ERA), who has 149 strikeouts and 43 walks to his name, as well as a 1.00 WHIP. Nola is 2-0 with 18 strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA across three starts against New York this year.

New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.06 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.97 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.85, along with a K/9 of 8.14.

The Mets offense has slashed .235/.317/.391 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game this year, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 11.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario continue to lead New York’s offense. Cabrera is slashing .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Rosario (.245/.289/.374) has produced six homers, 37 RBIs, 53 runs and 14 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.76, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 3.91 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 45 games against NL East opponents, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.56 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.58.

The Philadelphia offense is putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .259/.304/.447 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Phillies’ batters have been led by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is slashing .269/.323/.445 with 19 home runs, 62 RBIs and 54 runs scored, and Hernandez’s line is .258/.368/.366 with 10 homers, 39 RBIs, 76 runs and 15 stolen bases.

The Mets have lost 12.2 units and are 41-47 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 39 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 11.3 units and are 46-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 38 of those games, compared to 50 which went under the total.

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends,

  • The over has hit in only two of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
  • The New York defense has allowed five errors over the last 10 games, compared to 12 errors for Philadelphia over its last 10.
  • The Mets have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.