St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick

Posts AdminMLB

Paul DeJong and the St. Louis Cardinals are ready to do battle against their divisional rival Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park in a Wednesday showdown. The opening pitch is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Midwest will showcase the matchup.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Las Vegas has Milwaukee (-130) as the favorite over St. Louis (+120). The total currently stands at 9 runs and bettors can play the over for -125 and the under for +105. There’s a runline of Cardinals +1.5 (-175) and Brewers -1.5 (+155) for this matchup.

The Brewers are 12-6 straight up (SU) and 7-10 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 4.8 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 2.6 units ATS. Milwaukee has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Cardinals have gone 9-8 SU this year and are 10-6 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 1.3 units for moneyline gamblers through the early part of the year and 3.8 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 7-9-1 so far in 2019. Cardinals games have gone over 10 times, gone under five times and pushed on one occasion.

The right-handed Michael Wacha is projected to start for St. Louis. Wacha is 0-0 with a 5.28 ERA and 17 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Milwaukee this year.

The Brewers will put the ball in the right hand of Corbin Burnes (0-1, 10.05 ERA, 1.88 WHIP), who has 21 strikeouts and six walks this season. Burnes is 0-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA in one start against St. Louis this year.

St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.31 ERA, 1.61 WHIP and 8.57 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.63, along with a WHIP of 1.61.

Cardinals hitters have slashed .244/.328/.453 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game this year, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Paul DeJong and left fielder Marcell Ozuna have led St. Louis’ hitters. DeJong is slashing .309/.382/.618 with 21 hits, nine RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Ozuna is hitting .293 with 17 hits, seven homers, 15 RBIs and 12 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.92, a WHIP of 1.47 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.9. The bullpen has a 4.48 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 12 games against divisional opponents, Brewers starters have an ERA of 4.92 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.10.

Milwaukee’s hitters have put up 5.3 runs per contest, including 5.9 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .287/.364/.523 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the Brewers’ hitters so far. Yelich is slashing .357/.446/.800 with nine home runs, 25 RBIs and 18 runs scored, while Cain’s line is .306/.378/.458 with 22 hits, four RBIs and 14 runs.

The Cardinals have gained 1.1 units and are 8-5 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 2.3 units and are 4-9 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under.

Cardinals at Brewers Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Both offenses have recorded 19 extra-base hits over their last five outings.
  • The Cardinals have lost three of their last four games SU while the Brewers have taken four of their last five.
  • Milwaukee has recorded 24.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 26.2 over its last five.
  • The Cardinals have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
  • The Cardinals have a team OPS of .781 this season and an OPS of .807 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .828 overall and .798 versus righties.