San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

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The San Diego Padres are traveling east to take on their divisional rival Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. The matchup will get going at 9:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona will broadcast the game.

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

The Padres have gone 8-5 SU this year and are 7-5 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 1.6 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 2.6 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 6-6 SU and 7-4 ATS. The team’s gained 2.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.6 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Arizona games have an over/under record of 8-2-1 so far in 2019. San Diego has an over/under record of 6-6.

Right-hander Pedro Avila will get the ball for the visiting Padres. Avila did not accumulate any MLB pitching stats in 2018.

The D-backs are turning to righty Zack Godley (1-1, 6.55 ERA), who struck out 185 hitters in 178 innings last year (32 starts). Godley finished the season 15-11 overall with a 4.74 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP. He recorded five starts against San Diego a year ago and assembled a 3-1 record with a 5.08 ERA and 36 strikeouts.

Arizona’s pitchers have given up 6.3 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 5.18, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 7.07 ERA, 1.90 WHIP and 6.6 K/9. In seven games against divisional opponents, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 7.32 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.91.

The Arizona offense has produced 5.7 runs per outing, including 5.9 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .278/.333/.485 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Outfielders David Peralta and Adam Jones have led the Diamondbacks’ offense this year. Peralta is slashing .364/.364/.582 with 20 hits, four RBIs and eight runs scored, and Jones has produced a line of .354/.392/.688 with 17 hits, six RBIs and six runs.

In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.68 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 8.06 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.33, along with a WHIP of 1.19.

Padres hitters have slashed .231/.310/.410 on their way to 3.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

San Diego’s hitters have been paced by outfielders Wil Myers and Hunter Renfroe. Myers is hitting .326/.354/.565 with 15 hits, seven RBIs and five runs scored. Renfroe (.324/.378/.824) is up to 11 hits, four homers, seven RBIs and six runs scored.

The Padres have lost 1.2 units and are 3-4 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in four of those games, as opposed to three that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have lost 0.3 units and are 4-1 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to one which went under the total.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in five of San Diego’s last seven contests.
  • The Padres have an OPS of .719 this season and an OPS of .671 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Diamondbacks’ OPS sits at .840 overall and .817 versus righties.
  • San Diego has recorded 18.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.6 over its last five.
  • The Padres have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.