The red-hot Houston Astros are gunning for their sixth straight victory when they play host to the New York Yankees at Minute Maid Park. ATTSN Southwest will broadcast this AL matchup and the game is slated to get underway at 7:40 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros Odds
Houston (-135) is favored against New York (+125) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total now sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at Yankees +1.5 runs (-170) and Astros -1.5 runs (+150).
The Astros are 7-5 straight up (SU) and 2-9 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.3 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Yankees are 5-6 SU and have gone 6-4 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 6.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline over the early portions of the season, but have gained 0.8 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Houston games have an over/under record of 2-9 so far in 2019. New York has an over/under record of 5-5.
James Paxton (1-1, 4.09 ERA) is projected to get the start for the visiting Bronx Bombers. The southpaw Paxton struck out 208 hitters in 160 innings last year (28 starts) and finished the season 11-6 overall with a 3.76 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP. He made four starts against Houston in 2018 and compiled a 4-0 record against the Astros with a 2.05 ERA and 26 strikeouts.
The Astros are turning to righty Collin McHugh (1-1, 2.45 ERA), who recorded 94 strikeouts over 72 innings last year (0 starts), while finishing the season 6-2 overall with a 1.99 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP.
As a unit, Houston’s pitchers have yielded 3.2 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 3.45, a WHIP of 1.07 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.20, a WHIP of 0.89 and a K/9 of 10.5.
Houston’s hitters have produced 3.6 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .311/.395/.527 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that span.
The Astros’ offense has been led by Alex Bregman and Jose Altuve. Bregman is hitting .341/.440/.488 with 14 hits, three RBIs and six runs scored, and Altuve is hitting .298 with 14 hits, six RBIs and six runs scored.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.07 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.05 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.70, along with a K/9 of 10.02.
The Yankees offense has slashed .257/.357/.476 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2019, including over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
New York’s hitters have been led by shortstop Gleyber Torres and second baseman DJ LeMahieu. Torres is slashing .302/.362/.581 with 13 hits, five RBIs and seven runs scored, while LeMahieu (.361/.425/.472) has produced 13 hits, three RBIs and eight runs scored.
The Yankees have lost 4.9 units and are 6-3 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Astros have lost 0.1 units and are 1-2 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in zero of those games, compared to three which went under the total.
Yankees at Astros MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in only two of Houston’s last seven games.
- The Yankees have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games, including 16 over their last five.
- The Yankees have a team OPS of .833 this season and an OPS of .862 against right-handed pitchers. The Astros’ OPS stands at .777 overall and .759 versus righties.
- Houston has posted 21.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 26.4 over its last five.
