Jeff McNeil and the New York Mets are ready to square off against their divisional rival Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in a Wednesday showdown. The matchup will get underway at 1:05 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to SportsNet New York.
New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Sportsbooks have New York (+120) as the underdog to Philadelphia (-130). You can play game’s total with current odds sitting at -105 for over 9 runs and -115 for under 9. There’s a runline of Mets +1.5 (-175) and Phillies -1.5 (+155) for this matchup.
The Mets have gone 10-7 SU this year and are 10-6 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 2.3 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 3.1 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 10-6 SU and 7-8 ATS. They’ve gained 1.1 units for moneyline bettors and 0.3 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.
Philadelphia games have had an over/under record of 10-5 so far in 2019. New York has been a decent over bet with a total record of 12-3-1.
The right-handed Zack Wheeler is the probable starter for New York. Wheeler (1-1, 7.47 ERA) has recorded 17 strikeouts in 15.2 innings so far. He has yet to face Philadelphia this year, but he made two starts against the Phillies in 2018, putting together a 1-0 record against them with a 5.40 ERA and 12 strikeouts.
The Phillies are sending righty Jake Arrieta (2-1, 2.25 ERA) to the mound. Arrieta has 15 strikeouts and 10 walks as well as a 1.15 WHIP. Arrieta made three starts against the team in 2018, posting a 0-1 record in 2018, putting together a 0-1 record with a 2.45 ERA and 17 strikeouts.
New York’s pitching staff allowed 6.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.62 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 11.12 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.96, along with a WHIP of 1.42.
The Mets offense has slashed .270/.357/.443 on its way to 5.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Outfielders Jeff McNeil and Michael Conforto have led New York’s offense. McNeil is slashing .418/.484/.545 with 23 hits, 10 RBIs and eight runs scored, while Conforto (.313/.418/.597) has produced 21 hits, four homers, 10 RBIs and 15 runs scored.
For the home team, Philadelphia’s pitchers have yielded 5.2 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 5.10 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.99 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 13 divisional games, Phillies starters have an ERA of 5.62 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.08.
The Philadelphia offense has produced 6.2 runs per outing, including 6.5 per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .275/.356/.473 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ offense has been led by shortstop Jean Segura and left fielder Andrew McCutchen. Segura is slashing .328/.384/.478 with 22 hits, 10 RBIs and 13 runs scored, and McCutchen’s line is .283/.434/.550 with 17 hits, eight RBIs and 16 runs.
The Mets have gained 2.1 units and are 7-5 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in eight of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 2.7 units and are 7-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in nine of those games, as opposed to five which went under the total.
Mets vs. Phillies Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in five of New York’s last seven games.
- New York fielders have six errors over the last five games, compared to only two errors for Philadelphia over its last five.
- The Mets have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 14 over their last 10.
- The Mets have a total OPS of .800 this season and an OPS of .785 against right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS sits at .819 overall and .803 versus righties.
