Minnesota Twins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

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Nelson Cruz and the Minnesota Twins are traveling east to play the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. Fox Sports North will be televising this interleague matchup and the game is slated to get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Minnesota Twins at Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Philadelphia (-155) is the favorite against Minnesota (+145) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at nine runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -105 for the under and -115 for the over. There’s a runline of Twins +1.5 (-150) and Phillies -1.5 (+130) for this matchup.

Both teams have been good to bettors this year this year. The Phillies are 4-1 straight up (SU) and 4-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 3.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.0 units ATS. The Twins have gone 4-1 SU this year and are 3-2 against the spread. In total, the club has gained 3.0 units for moneyline bettors through the early portions of the year and 1.7 units ATS.

Philadelphia games have a 4-1 over/under record in 2019. Minnesota has an over/under record of 3-2.

Jake Odorizzi (0-0, 1.50 ERA) is getting the nod for Minnesota. The right-handed Odorizzi struck out 162 hitters over 164 innings last year (32 starts) while finishing the season 7-10 overall with a 4.49 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP.

The Phils are turning to righty Nick Pivetta (0-0, 7.71 ERA), who recorded 188 strikeouts in 164 innings last year with only 51 walks, while finishing the season 7-14 overall with a 4.77 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP.

Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 3.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.76 ERA, 0.85 WHIP and 9.82 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 2.70, along with a K-per-9 of 10.26.

The Twins offense has slashed .265/.361/.398 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season.

Minnesota’s offense has been powered by Nelson Cruz and Willians Astudillo. Cruz is slashing .333/.500/.611 with six hits, six RBIs and two runs scored, while Astudillo has six hits, three RBIs and five runs scored.

For the home team, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 4.4 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.38, a WHIP of 1.46 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.6. The bullpen has a 4.19 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.

Philadelphia’s offense is putting up 7.8 runs per outing so far this season and the team’s hit .269/.390/.527 to begin the year.

The Phillies’ offense has been led by right fielder Bryce Harper and shortstop Jean Segura. Harper has eight hits, five RBIs and five runs scored, and Segura’s line is .364/.391/.455 with eight hits, four RBIs and six runs scored.

The Twins have gained 3.0 units and are 3-2 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in three of those games, as opposed to two that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 3.4 units and are 4-1 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in four of those games, compared to one that’ve gone under.

Twins vs. Phillies MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Twins and Phillies did not face each other in 2018.
  • The Twins have a team OPS of .759 this season and an OPS of .739 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS sits at .917 overall and their right / left split is nearly identical.