Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Matchup

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The Atlanta Braves are seeking their fourth straight win as they play host to the Miami Marlins at SunTrust Park. The action will begin at 7:20 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox SportsNet Florida to catch the game.

Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Atlanta (-160) as the favorite over Miami (+150). If you think the game’s total will go under 8.5 runs, bookmakers are currently offering -105 odds. Picking the over will give you -115 odds. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Marlins +1.5 runs (-145) and Braves -1.5 runs (+125).

The Braves are 3-3 straight up (SU) and 2-3 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 1.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.3 units ATS. The Marlins have gone 2-5 SU this year and are 3-4 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 2.4 units for moneyline bettors over the early portions of the year and 1.9 units ATS.

Braves games have a 3-1-1 over/under record so far in 2019. Miami has an over/under record of 5-1-1.

Pablo Lopez (1-0, 5.06 ERA) is projected to get the nod for the visiting Marlins. The right-handed Lopez started 10 games last year and finished the season 2-4 overall with a 4.14 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. He made two starts against the Braves in 2018 and compiled a 0-2 record against them with a 4.91 ERA and nine strikeouts.

The Braves have tabbed righty Kevin Gausman as their starter. Gausman started 31 games last year while finishing the season 10-11 overall with a 3.92 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. He recorded three starts against Miami a year ago and put up a 2-1 record with a 2.16 ERA and 14 strikeouts.

Atlanta’s pitchers have given up 5.2 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.58 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 7.71 ERA, 1.67 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In three games against divisional opponents, Braves starters have an ERA of 7.11 and the bullpen’s ERA is 10.32.

The Atlanta offense has put up 5.7 runs per contest so far this season and the team has hit .285/.401/.467 to begin the year.

Second baseman Ozzie Albies and outfielder Nick Markakis have led the Braves’ offense this year. Albies is slashing .478/.556/.696 with 11 hits, two RBIs and three runs scored, and Markakis is hitting .375 with nine hits, six RBIs and six runs.

In the other dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.38 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 8.77 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.50, along with a WHIP of 1.18.

The Marlins offense has slashed .251/.304/.387 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Miami’s offensive production has been sparked by second baseman Starlin Castro and first baseman Martin Prado. Castro is slashing .321/.345/.536 with nine hits, four RBIs and four runs scored, while Prado is hitting .500/.529/.625 with eight hits, two RBIs and three runs scored.

The Marlins have lost 0.6 units and are 1-2 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in one of those games, compared to one that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have lost 2.0 units and are 1-3 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in two of those games, compared to one that went under the total.

Marlins at Braves Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Marlins went 5-14 SU against the Braves last season.
  • The Marlins’ bullpen managed 6.75 ERA against the Braves last year.
  • The Marlins have a team OPS of .692 this season and an OPS of .628 against right-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS sits at .846 overall and their left / right split is nearly identical.