The Philadelphia Phillies are playing host to their divisional rival Miami Marlins at Citizens Bank Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Philadelphia will be airing the action.
Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Miami (+170) as the underdog to Philadelphia (-180). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -105 for over 8.5 runs and -115 for under 8.5. Runline odds stand at -130 for taking the Marlins +1.5 runs and +110 for the Phillies -1.5 runs.
The Marlins are only 8-17 SU and have gone 10-14 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.9 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season and 7.3 units ATS. Miami is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 13-12 SU and 11-13 ATS. They’ve gained 0.1 units for moneyline bettors while earning 3.4 units ATS. Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Philadelphia games have a 13-11 over/under record thus far in 2019. Miami has an over/under record of 10-13-1.
The right-handed Jose Urena will get the nod for Miami. Urena is 1-3 with a 5.74 ERA and 21 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA against Philadelphia this year.
The Phillies are putting the ball in the right hand of Jerad Eickhoff (0-1, 3.60 ERA, 1.40 WHIP), who’s got 14 strikeouts and four walks this season. Eickhoff hasn’t faced the Marlins yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2018.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.45 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.16 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 18 games against divisional foes, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.72 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.14.
Philadelphia’s hitters are putting up 5.0 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 1.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .173/.243/.296 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and first baseman Rhys Hoskins have led the Phillies’ batters this year. Hernandez is hitting .277/.337/.415 with 26 hits, nine RBIs and 12 runs scored, while Hoskins is batting .261 with seven homers, 20 RBIs and 18 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.08 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.81 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.81, along with a K-per-9 of 10.57.
The Marlins offense has slashed .220/.283/.334 on its way to 2.7 runs scored per game this year, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Miami’s hitters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .258/.314/.361 with 25 hits, eight RBIs and nine runs scored. Anderson is hitting .242/.337/.352 with 22 hits, four RBIs and five runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 1.1 units and are 7-10 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 1.7 units and are 9-10 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to eight that’ve gone under.
Marlins vs. Phillies Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in only two of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
- The Marlins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
- The Marlins have a team OPS of .617 this season and an OPS of .616 against right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS sits at .754 overall and .759 against righties.
- Philadelphia has recorded 20.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 13.0 over its last five.
